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大坝群溃坝后果排序灰色模糊物元分析方法

黄梦婧 杨海浪 叶根苗

河北水利电力学院学报2026,Vol.36Issue(2):9-14,20,7.
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河北水利电力学院学报2026,Vol.36Issue(2):9-14,20,7.DOI:10.16046/j.cnki.issn2096-5680.2026.02.002

大坝群溃坝后果排序灰色模糊物元分析方法

A Grey-Fuzzy Matter-Element Analysis Method for Prioritizing Dam-Break Consequences in Dam Groups

黄梦婧 1杨海浪 2叶根苗3

作者信息

  • 1. 安徽水利水电职业技术学院 资源与环境工程学院,安徽省合肥市合马路18号 231603
  • 2. 安徽省引江济淮集团有限公司 质量安全环保部,安徽省合肥市滨湖新区云谷路2588号 230601
  • 3. 南京江北新区管理委员会生态环境和水务局 水利管理办,江苏省南京市江北新区凤滁路48号 210031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To scientifically evaluate the severity of dam-break consequences and determine risk man-agement priorities,and a comprehensive assessment system for dam-break consequences and its corre-sponding indicator grading standards,based on grey system theory,fuzzy mathematics,and matter-ele-ment analysis theory,a grey-fuzzy matter-element analysis method applicable for prioritizing the conse-quences of dam-break events within dam groups was proposed.This method effectively integrated multi-dimensional evaluation indicators,including life loss,economic loss,environmental impact,and social im-pact.The severity levels of dam-break consequences across the dam group were classified through correla-tion degree analysis.Theoretical analysis and case study verification demonstrated that the proposed meth-od could provide a scientific basis for decision-making regarding the reinforcement priorities for dangerous reservoirs.

关键词

溃坝后果/灰色模糊物元/综合评估/关联度

Key words

dam-break consequences/grey-fuzzy matter-element/comprehensive assessment/correla-tion degree

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

黄梦婧,杨海浪,叶根苗..大坝群溃坝后果排序灰色模糊物元分析方法[J].河北水利电力学院学报,2026,36(2):9-14,20,7.

基金项目

中共安徽省委教育工委、安徽省教育厅中青年教师培养行动"优秀青年教师培育"重点项目(YQYB2023176) (YQYB2023176)

安徽省教育厅高校科研重点项目(2025AHGXZK30934) (2025AHGXZK30934)

河北水利电力学院学报

2096-5680

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