热带地理2026，Vol.46Issue(6)：1126-1138,13.DOI:10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20250548
城中村居住隔离是否对入室盗窃犯罪产生影响?
Does Residential Segregation Associated with Villages in the City Affect Burglaries?—A Case Study of ZG City
摘要
Abstract
Crimes in villages in the city(ViCs)seriously affect social stability,with the unique residential segregation phenomenon serving as an important entry point for analyzing crime issues.However,the current research lacks systematic studies based on spatial statistics on the relationship between residential segregation and burglary in ViC communities.This study aimed to fill this gap.The study area consisted of 123 ViC communities within a ring expressway in ZG City,China.We extracted ViC plots using satellite imagery and estimated the ViC population using the building footprints and heights provided by Amap.Neighborhood and local segregation indexes were developed.These indices and the traditional segregation index were used to test the relationship between residential segregation and burglary.The covariates were selected with the guidance of social disorganization theory,rational choice theory,and crime pattern theory.The results of the negative binomial regression models show that,first,none of the traditional segregation index,neighborhood segregation index,or local segregation index has a significant impact on burglary,indicating that residential segregation in ViC communities is not a statistically significant factor in explaining burglary in ViC communities.This finding contradicts those of Western local-scale studies that show significant effects of residential segregation on crime.This contradiction may be due to the essential differences in the formation of residential segregation between China and the West,leading to markedly different effects on residents' daily activities.Western research has found that residential segregation tends to confine people's activities to residential neighborhoods,thereby amplifying segregation effects.However,residential segregation in ViC communities does not affect residents' daily activities outside of their residences,and the high mobility of daily activities among ViC residents may weaken the effects of residential segregation.Meanwhile,the proportions of the elderly and population and the proportion of highly educated populations have significant negative effects on burglary because of their informal social control in communities.The number of catering and convenience stores,the number of bus stops,and the ViC area had significant positive effects on burglary,indicating that communities with more facilities acting as crime generators,better accessibility,and larger ViC areas were more susceptible to burglary.By introducing neighborhood effects to enrich segregation measurements,this study overcame the limitations of the traditional index that ignores spatial associations.However,none of the indices showed a significant association with burglary.This study provides empirical evidence for the lack of a relationship between residential segregation and burglary in the Chinese context at the community level.The findings also offer insights that may help improve policing practices and crime prevention in ViC communities,and contribute to enhancing the effectiveness of public security management in urban villages.关键词
城中村/居住隔离/入室盗窃/犯罪地理/负二项回归Key words
villages-in-the-city/residential segregation/burglary/crime geography/negative binomial regression model分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
徐冲,王昭尧,柳林,麦琬宜..城中村居住隔离是否对入室盗窃犯罪产生影响?[J].热带地理,2026,46(6):1126-1138,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金:城市犯罪的社区分异模式与机理(41601138) （41601138）
