中国电力2026，Vol.59Issue(6)：13-23,11.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202508055
中国电力消费不均衡性变化及时空演化机理分析
Analysis on the spatiotemporal evolution mechanism of electricity consumption inequality in China
摘要
Abstract
Energy transition needs to balance equity,which is a core demand of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.From the dual perspectives of population and regional area,this study calculates the Gini coefficient of electricity consumption to quantitatively assess the spatiotemporal evolution of electricity consumption inequality,and employs a Bayesian linear regression model to identify its key driving factors.The findings indicate that significant disparities exist in the level of electricity consumption inequality between China and the global average,with China's rapid power development playing a crucial role in mitigating global electricity consumption inequality.The gravity center of electricity consumption has shown a trend of"shifting south-advancing west-stabilization"in turn,with the westward movement driving a decline in the Gini coefficient of electricity consumption.GDP and urbanization rate are positively correlated with the equalization of electricity consumption distribution,and the expansion of transmission lines of high-voltage and above has played a role in cross-regional resource allocation.Based on the analysis of key driving factors,a multidimensional development path for promoting the balanced development of electricity consumption is proposed,which takes economic activation,gap reduction,technological empowerment,and institutional reform as the key measures.关键词
电力消费/基尼系数/不均衡/消费重心Key words
electricity consumption/Gini coefficient/inequality/consumption gravity center引用本文复制引用
刘添,张士宁,翁宇威,张超义,刘通明..中国电力消费不均衡性变化及时空演化机理分析[J].中国电力,2026,59(6):13-23,11.基金项目
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72371102). 国家自然科学基金资助项目(72371102). （No.72371102）
