北京交通大学学报2026，Vol.50Issue(3)：1-12,12.DOI:10.11860/j.issn.1673-0291.20250189
考虑旅客选择行为的航班供需适配优化研究
Study of flight supply-demand alignment optimization considering passenger choice behavior
摘要
Abstract
To alleviate the mismatch between flight supply and passenger demand,this paper proposes an optimization model for flight supply-demand alignment that incorporates passenger choice behavior.Based on 519 valid choice experiment observations,a Multinomial Logit(MNL)model is employed to characterize the heterogeneous preferences of business and leisure passengers regarding departure time,ticket price,aircraft type,and flight durations.These preferences are translated into differenti-ated flight demands at the time-slot level to accurately reflect the market's behavioral responses to flight supply.First,considering multiple constraints such as flight schedule,aircraft assignment,and aircraft maintenance,a bi-objective optimization model is constructed.This model aims to optimize flight schedule allocations and aircraft assignments to minimize both the deviation in market demand fulfillment and operational costs.Second,a hybrid Greedy-Genetic Algorithm(GGA)is adopted to solve the model.By combining the global search capability of a Genetic Algorithm(GA)with the local repair and optimization abilities of a greedy strategy,this approach ensures optimization efficiency and high solution quality.Finally,a case study based on a one-week flight schedule from Airline A is con-ducted.The results indicate that the optimization scheme significantly improves the match between flight supply and demand,reducing the deviation in market demand fulfillment by 34.3%and lowering operational costs by 12.1%.Furthermore,flight resource utilization is enhanced,and the flight plan's capacity to accommodate passenger demand is notably improved,particularly during high-demand pe-riods.By comprehensively accounting for the relationships among flight schedules,aircraft types,and passenger demand,the optimization model ensures both the economic viability and operational feasibil-ity of the flight plan.Overall,the proposed optimization model,which integrates passenger choice be-havior,holds substantial application value for enhancing the utilization efficiency of flight resources and market responsiveness.关键词
航空运输/航班供需适配/旅客选择行为/多项Logit模型/一体化航班计划Key words
air transportation/flight supply-demand alignment/passenger choice behavior/Multino-mial Logit(MNL)model/integrated flight planning分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
李艳华,赵柯焱,周志青,阳杰,张世悦..考虑旅客选择行为的航班供需适配优化研究[J].北京交通大学学报,2026,50(3):1-12,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(U2333206) National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2333206) （U2333206）
