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基于模糊层次分析的房山区五丰沟泥石流危险性评价

李晓婷 刘文龙 张园园 王强 王鹏飞 刘永刚

城市地质2026,Vol.21Issue(2):219-224,6.
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城市地质2026,Vol.21Issue(2):219-224,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2097-3764.2026.02.010

基于模糊层次分析的房山区五丰沟泥石流危险性评价

Risk assessment of debris flow in Wufenggou,Fangshan District based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process

李晓婷 1刘文龙 2张园园 1王强 2王鹏飞 1刘永刚1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京市工程地质研究所,北京 100048
  • 2. 北京市地质工程勘察院有限责任公司,北京 100048
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In July 2023,heavy rainfall triggered multiple landslides and collapses in Wufeng Gully,Fangshan District,leading to a substantial accumulation of loose material in the gully.Combined with the effects of human activity,this has significantly elevated the debris flow risk,posing a serious threat to downstream residents and infrastructure.This study focuses on the Wufeng Gully debris flow.Based on field investigations and an analysis of the regional geological background,formation conditions,and developmental characteristics,a nine-indicator evaluation system was established,encompassing geological,topographic,and hydrodynamic factors.The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP)was used to evaluate the debris flow hazard.The results indicate that the debris flow in Wufeng Gully has reached a highly dangerous state,a finding consistent with field observations.This study provides a scientific basis for disaster prevention and mitigation strategies in the area.

关键词

泥石流/危险性评价:层次分析法/模糊综合评判法

Key words

debris flow/hazard assessment/analytic hierarchy process/fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method

引用本文复制引用

李晓婷,刘文龙,张园园,王强,王鹏飞,刘永刚..基于模糊层次分析的房山区五丰沟泥石流危险性评价[J].城市地质,2026,21(2):219-224,6.

基金项目

京津冀协同发展交通网络地质安全监测预警系统(北京部分)运行项目(11000023T000002063541)资助 (北京部分)

城市地质

2097-3764

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