电力系统自动化2026，Vol.50Issue(12)：65-74,10.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20250923001
考虑产业风险传播的虚拟电厂资源池容量稳定性优化方法
Capacity Stability Optimization Method for Resource Pools of Virtual Power Plant Considering Industrial Risk Propagation
摘要
Abstract
To overcome the continuous impact of industrial risk propagation on the resource pool capacity and enhance the long-term stability of commercial operation of load-type virtual power plants,this paper proposes a structural optimization framework for resource pools considering capacity stability constraints from the perspective of system resilience.A production-electricity coupled network is firstly constructed,and a susceptible-infectious-recovered-susceptible(SIRS)model is introduced to simulate the risk propagation process within the resource network,thereby characterizing the impacts of economic disturbances on the resource pool capacity.On this basis,capacity stability constraints are introduced to construct structural optimization model for resource pools.Case study results show that the capacity fluctuation amplitude of the optimized resource pools under typical impacts decreases by about 30％,and the income increases by about 2.8％,while maintaining stability and adaptability under varying infection coefficient conditions.Further analysis indicates that the introduced constraints can enhance the capacity stability through improving the distribution of resource industries.The research results provide theoretical support for the transition of load-type virtual power plants from being merely"aggregatable"to achieving"sustainable"operation.关键词
虚拟电厂/资源池/容量/稳定性/风险/传播模型/生产网络/随机优化Key words
virtual power plant/resource pool/capacity/stability/risk/propagation model/production network/stochastic optimization引用本文复制引用
王鹏,孙耐,曹雨洁,丁毅宏..考虑产业风险传播的虚拟电厂资源池容量稳定性优化方法[J].电力系统自动化,2026,50(12):65-74,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目(52507092). 本文在撰写过程中得到新能源电力系统全国重点实验室(华北电力大学)研究课题(LAPS2025-03)的帮助,特此感谢! This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52507092). （52507092）
