安全与环境工程2026，Vol.33Issue(3)：57-64,8.DOI:10.13578/j.cnki.issn.1671-1556.20250290
事故责任认定的数学模型与辅助决策方法
The mathematical model of accident liability identification and the auxiliary decision-making method
摘要
Abstract
In order to realize liability identification in accident processes,a mathematical model and an auxiliary decision-making method for accident liability identification are constructed.Based on the space fault network theory,the accident evolution process is abstracted.The mathematical model and identification method are established.The mathematical model includes modalities,factors,events,and liability judgments,enabling qualitative and quantitative analysis.First,the liability event is determined,and then the impact of the event on the accident outcome is assessed,so as to determine the degree of liability for assisting decision-making.The application process of the proposed mathematical model and auxiliary decision-making method is demonstrated by a case study.The results show that liability events are caused by unsafe human behaviors,while non-liability events are caused by complex factors,with the former playing a key role in the accident evolution.Liability identification should be traced back to the accident evolution process and determined by the importance of liability events.In the case study,one responsible person of a liability event bears significantly greater responsibility than the other,and thus should assume primary liability.The proposed auxiliary decision-making method has practical application value and potential for further development.关键词
安全系统工程/空间故障网络/事故责任认定/数学模型/辅助决策方法Key words
safety system engineering/space fault network/accident liability identification/mathematical model/auxiliary decision-making method分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
李莎莎,王金秋,崔铁军,张晶..事故责任认定的数学模型与辅助决策方法[J].安全与环境工程,2026,33(3):57-64,8.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFC3016800) （2024YFC3016800）
辽宁省属本科高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(LJ212410144051、LJ212410144032) （LJ212410144051、LJ212410144032）
