高原农业2026，Vol.10Issue(3)：407-420,14.DOI:10.19707/j.cnki.jpa.2026.03.014
农村产业融合水平测度和阶段识别及驱动机制研究
Research on the Measurement,Stage Identification and Driving Mechanism of Rural Industrial Integration Levels:Taking Qinghai Province as an Example
摘要
Abstract
Rural industrial integration is a key link in the modernisation of agriculture and rural areas.Taking Qinghai Province as an example,we quantitatively evaluated the development indicators of the rural industrial integration system by constructing a"behaviour-benefit-sustainable"evaluation index system,then analysed its development stages based on the coupled coordination model and two-dimensional analysis mapping,and finally quantitatively explored its driving mechanism using the VAR model.The results show:(1)the level of rural industrial integration was increasing with fluctuation,and achieved the transition from"poor"to"good",and there was a common development trend among the subsystems,but the development level of the behaviour system was seriously lagging behind that of the efficient and sustainable system.(2)The degree of correlation between rural industrial integration systems was extremely high,and the degree of coupling coordination developed from'moderate dissonance'to'basic coordination'.Its developmental stage was at the stage of'low coordination-low level',and the time sequence showed a tendency to develop towards'high coordination-high level'.(3)The impulse response results showed that rural industrial integration was most sensitive to market-driven shocks,with insufficient support from the science and technology and transport drivers,and an apparently negative response to education-driven shocks.(4)The results of variance decomposition showed that the development of rural industrial integration was mainly determined by the contribution rate of market-driven,and belonged to the benefit-driven industrial integration development.In general,the integration of rural industries was the result of joint actions driven by market forces,education,technology and transportation,and guided by government policies and environmental protection initiatives.关键词
农村产业融合/水平测度/分析图谱/VAR模型/青海省Key words
Rural industrial integration/Level estimation/Analysis map/VAR model/Qinghai Province分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
曹佳俊,许彬..农村产业融合水平测度和阶段识别及驱动机制研究[J].高原农业,2026,10(3):407-420,14.基金项目
国家社会科学基金西部项目"高寒特色农牧业区域公用品牌力与小农户现代化发展相关性研究"(21XGL013). （21XGL013）
