农林经济管理学报2026，Vol.25Issue(3)：342-353,12.DOI:10.16195/j.cnki.cn36-1328/f.2026.03.35
新质生产力发展对农业减污降碳协同增效的影响机制
Impact mechanism of new quality productive forces on synergistic effect of agricultural pollution-carbon reduction:from multi-factor empowerment perspective
摘要
Abstract
This study,drawing on a panel dataset covering 41 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2011 to 2023,empirically examines the causal relationship and synergistic mechanism of the synergistic effect between the development of agricultural new quality productive forces and the synergistic effect of agricultural pollution-carbon reduction by adopting the two-way fixed effect model,the mediated effect model,and the spatial lag model.The study shows that the development of agricultural new quality productive forces can significantly achieve reduction in both agricultural carbon emissions and non-point source pollution,thus significantly promoting the synergistic effect of agricultural pollution-carbon reduction.Mechanism analysis reveals that the development of agricultural new quality productive forces can exert the empowering effect of the labor factor,the technology factor,and the management factor to promote the upgrading of human capital,the progress of agricultural science and technology,and the trading of environmental rights and interests before promoting the synergistic effect of agricultural pollution-carbon reduction.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the enhancement effect of agricultural new quality productive forces development on the synergistic effect of agricultural pollution-carbon reduction is more significant in metropolitan area cities,riverside cities,and main grain producing areas.Compared with new agricultural labor materials and new agricultural labor objects,new agricultural laborers play the greatest role in promoting synergistic effect of agricultural pollution-carbon reduction.The analysis of spatial effects shows that there exists significant negative spatial spillover effect of the development of agricultural new quality productive forces on the synergistic effect of agricultural pollution-carbon reduction.Therefore,efforts should be sustained to advance the development of new-quality productive forces in agriculture,establishing a systematic framework for empowering key factors to facilitate conversion pathways.In addition,emphasis should be placed on enhancing regional synergies in the development of these new-quality productive forces,thereby vigorously promoting the synergistic benefits of reducing pollution and lowering carbon emissions in agriculture.关键词
新质生产力/农业碳排放/面源污染:减污降碳/协同效应/长三角地区Key words
new quality productive forces/agricultural carbon emissions/non-point source pollution/pollution and carbon reduction/synergistic effect/Yangtze River Delta Region分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
徐彩瑶,钱一莹,孔凡斌..新质生产力发展对农业减污降碳协同增效的影响机制[J].农林经济管理学报,2026,25(3):342-353,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目(42301328)、国家自然科学基金面上项目(42371294)和浙江省哲学社会科学规划研究课题(26NDJC107YB) （42301328）
