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华北黄淮极端雨强多尺度过程和物理模型

聂绩 陈刚 尹金方 李明鑫 梁旭东 林中曦 吕楠 温龙 张芳华 胡宁 苏爱芳 史一丛 郑媛媛

气象学报2026,Vol.84Issue(3):385-403,19.
气象学报2026,Vol.84Issue(3):385-403,19.DOI:10.11676/qxxb2026.20250128

华北黄淮极端雨强多尺度过程和物理模型

Recognition of multi-scale processes and a physical model for extreme rainfall mechanisms in North China and the Huanghuai region

聂绩 1陈刚 2尹金方 3李明鑫 3梁旭东 3林中曦 4吕楠 4温龙 4张芳华 5胡宁 5苏爱芳 6史一丛 6郑媛媛2

作者信息

  • 1. 北京大学物理学院大气与海洋科学系,北京,100871||中国气象局龙卷风重点开放实验室,佛山,528000
  • 2. 南京气象科技创新研究院,南京,210019
  • 3. 中国气象科学研究院,北京,100081
  • 4. 北京大学物理学院大气与海洋科学系,北京,100871
  • 5. 国家气象中心,北京,100081
  • 6. 河南省气象台,郑州,450003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In recent years,extreme rainfall events such as the"21·7"Henan and"23·7"Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei storms have frequently impacted North China and the Huanghuai region(North China-Huanghuai region).These events exposed significant gaps in our understanding of their physical mechanisms.This article summarizes recent researches on spatial-temporal features,synoptic patterns,mesoscale convective systems(MCSs),and microphysical structures of extreme rainfall.By combining multi-source observations and model simulations,the study highlights the multiscale processes—from large-scale circulation to microphysics—that jointly shape rainfall intensity.A multiscale pattern recognition method is proposed to improve the identification of extreme events.Two distinct MCS types—warm-type and deep-convective-type—are characterized,especially in terms of raindrop spectra and hydrometeor composition.A multiscale conceptual model tailored to North China is presented,offering insights to improve forecasting and model representation of extreme rainfall processes.

关键词

极端雨强/天气形势/中尺度对流系统/云微物理

Key words

Extreme rainfall intensity/Synoptic pattern/Mesoscale convective system/Cloud-microphysics

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

聂绩,陈刚,尹金方,李明鑫,梁旭东,林中曦,吕楠,温龙,张芳华,胡宁,苏爱芳,史一丛,郑媛媛..华北黄淮极端雨强多尺度过程和物理模型[J].气象学报,2026,84(3):385-403,19.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划(2022YFC3003902)、北京市自然科学基金(JQ23037). (2022YFC3003902)

气象学报

0577-6619

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