起重运输机械Issue(12)：56-62,68,8.
基于FTA-BN的客运索道减速器可靠性分析
贠鹏 1臧祺 1温浩 1衣宝龙 1刘兆羽1
作者信息
- 1. 北京科正平工程技术检测研究院有限公司 北京 100007||国家客运架空索道安全监督检验中心 北京 100007
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Taking the passenger ropeway reducer as the research object,a reliability assessment method integrating the fault tree analysis(FTA)and Bayesian network(BN)was proposed.Considering the limitations of conventional deterministic logic gates,the Leaky OR model(incorporating fault propagation probability and background failure rate)and the Noisy AND model(incorporating coordinated failure probability)were introduced to modify the conditional probability table(CPT).The findings indicate that lubrication system failure(M2)contributes the most to system failure,accounting for 55.25%,and that oil contamination(B4)constitutes a critical cross-pathway weak link.Key-importance analysis identifies aging(C6),oil degradation(C9),and poor lubrication(C2)as the top three sensitive factors.关键词
客运索道/贝叶斯网络/故障树分析/减速器可靠性Key words
passenger ropeway/Bayesian network/fault tree analysis/reducer reliability分类
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贠鹏,臧祺,温浩,衣宝龙,刘兆羽..基于FTA-BN的客运索道减速器可靠性分析[J].起重运输机械,2026,(12):56-62,68,8.
