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基于集成学习方法的鄱阳湖水质反演模型研究

刘浩 唐海云 曹列凯 张尚弘

人民长江2026,Vol.57Issue(6):116-128,137,14.
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人民长江2026,Vol.57Issue(6):116-128,137,14.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2026.06.013

基于集成学习方法的鄱阳湖水质反演模型研究

Water quality inversion model for Poyang Lake based on ensemble learning methods

刘浩 1唐海云 1曹列凯 1张尚弘1

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学 水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206
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摘要

Abstract

To address the limited accuracy of water quality remote sensing inversion using traditional statistical models and sin-gle machine learning algorithms,this study proposes an ensemble learning optimization method based on multi-source remote sensing imagery,aiming to improve the inversion accuracy of water quality parameters,specifically water temperature,dissolved ox-ygen(DO),and pH.Taking Poyang Lake as the study area,multiple linear regression and three individual machine learning mod-els,K-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Support Vector Regression(SVR),and Multilayer Perceptron(MLP),were established as baseline models.In addition,three ensemble learning strategies were further constructed:Bagging(including Random Forest,RF),Boosting(including AdaBoost,GBDT,and XGBoost),and Stacking.These approaches were applied to invert the above-mentioned water quality parameters,and feature engineering was conducted to optimize spectral band combinations.The results show that for water temperature inversion,the Stacking strategy based on Ridge regression achieved the best performance,with an R2 of 0.829-8.2%higher than that of the best single model(KNN).For pH inversion,the Random Forest model under the Bagging strategy performed best,yielding an R2 of 0.868,representing a 12.9%improvement over KNN.Similarly,for dissolved oxygen inversion,the Random Forest model again excelled,achieving an R2 of 0.868-11.7%higher than KNN.Furthermore,feature combinations with a limited number of spectral bands demonstrated good effectiveness within the ensemble learning frame-work.In summary,ensemble learning methods significantly enhance the capability of satellite remote sensing data for water quality inversion compared to single-model approaches,and are particularly suitable for monitoring weakly optically active water quality parameters such as pH and dissolved oxygen.This study provides an efficient and stable technical solution for dynamic water qual-ity monitoring in lakes.

关键词

水质反演/集成学习/多源影像/机器学习模型/鄱阳湖

Key words

water quality inversion/ensemble learning/multi-source remote sensing imagery/machine learning models/Poyang Lake

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引用本文复制引用

刘浩,唐海云,曹列凯,张尚弘..基于集成学习方法的鄱阳湖水质反演模型研究[J].人民长江,2026,57(6):116-128,137,14.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC32020004) (2022YFC32020004)

国家自然科学基金项目(52379065) (52379065)

人民长江

1001-4179

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