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不同机器学习模型和输入变量的崩岗易发性评价适宜性研究

郭飞 黄皋羽 赖鹏 杨亚会 刘琦良 黄涛 程冬兵 陈勇

水土保持学报2026,Vol.40Issue(3):47-57,11.
水土保持学报2026,Vol.40Issue(3):47-57,11.DOI:10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2026.03.037

不同机器学习模型和输入变量的崩岗易发性评价适宜性研究

Study on the Suitability of Different Machine Learning Models and Input Variables for Benggang Susceptibility Assessment

郭飞 1黄皋羽 1赖鹏 1杨亚会 2刘琦良 3黄涛 4程冬兵 5陈勇1

作者信息

  • 1. 三峡库区地质灾害教育部重点实验室,湖北宜昌 443002||三峡大学土木与建筑学院,湖北宜昌 443002
  • 2. 三峡大学水利与环境学院,湖北宜昌 443002
  • 3. 湖北文理学院理工学院,湖北襄阳 441025
  • 4. 湖北工程学院新技术学院,湖北孝感 432000
  • 5. 长江水利委员会汉江流域治理保护中心,武汉 430010
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective]To investigate the suitability of different machine learning models and input variables for assessing collapsing gully susceptibility.[Methods]Taking Shicheng County,Jiangxi Province as the study area,an indicator system was constructed using geodetector(GD)for factor screening.The original values,frequency ratio(FR),and neighborhood frequency ratio(NFR)were used as input variables for the multilayer perceptron(MLP)and random forest(RF)models.The adaptability of these different models and input variables for Benggang susceptibility assessment was studied.[Results]1)The AUC values of susceptibility assessment results from MLP and RF models under the NFR input variables were 0.854 and 0.860,respectively.Both models demonstrated good assessment performance,indicating that NFR was a suitable input variable.2)The RF model generally outperformed the MLP model.Specifically,the Benggang densities in high susceptibility areas of original value-RF,NFR-RF,and FR-RF models were 3.93,3.83,and 3.69,respectively.The original value-RF model demonstrated the strongest capability in identifying extremely high and high susceptibility areas.3)The Benggang density was highest in the extremely high susceptibility area.Both high and extremely high susceptibility areas were concentrated in the northwest,closely matching the actual distribution pattern of Benggang.[Conclusion]NFR is a highly generalizable input variable.Compared with original values and FR,NFR exhibits the highest robustness in both MLP and RF models.The RF model is more suitable than the MLP model for assessing Benggang susceptibility.

关键词

频率比值/邻域频率比值/随机森林/多层感知机/崩岗易发性

Key words

frequency ratio/neighborhood frequency ratio/random forest/multilayer perceptron/Benggang susceptibility

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

郭飞,黄皋羽,赖鹏,杨亚会,刘琦良,黄涛,程冬兵,陈勇..不同机器学习模型和输入变量的崩岗易发性评价适宜性研究[J].水土保持学报,2026,40(3):47-57,11.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(42107489) (42107489)

水土保持学报

1009-2242

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