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面向"四水四定"的"智能监测-风险评价-预警调控"技术构建及应用

李溦 彭少明 王浩 邢西刚 郭旭宁 宋秋波 李云玲 朱永楠 姜瑶卿 刘为锋 李原园

中国工程科学2026,Vol.28Issue(3):314-327,14.
中国工程科学2026,Vol.28Issue(3):314-327,14.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2025.10.010

面向"四水四定"的"智能监测-风险评价-预警调控"技术构建及应用

Construction and Application of"Intelligent Monitoring-Risk Assessment-Early Warning Regulation"for"Defining City,Land,Population,and Industry Based on Water"

李溦 1彭少明 1王浩 2邢西刚 1郭旭宁 1宋秋波 1李云玲 1朱永楠 2姜瑶卿 3刘为锋 1李原园1

作者信息

  • 1. 水利部水利水电规划设计总院,北京 100120||水利部水利规划与战略研究中心,北京 100120
  • 2. 中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100038
  • 3. 华北水利水电大学水资源学院,郑州 450000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The"four water-based controls"principle(i.e.,defining city,land,population,and industry based on water)is a cornerstone of water resource management in China in the new era.To advance its application from theory to practice,a comprehensive,closed-loop technical framework must be established to resolve the critical conflict between water scarcity and socioeconomic development alongside ecological conservation.This study analyzes the core essence of the"four water-based controls"principle,and establishes a"smart monitoring-risk assessment-early warning regulation"technical framework.It also designs a dual-evaluation indicator system combining binding and anticipatory metrics,and constructs a smart monitoring system featuring space-air-ground-water-engineering integration and a three-dimensional"point-area"approach.The dual-evaluation approach is employed to conduct risk assessment and early warning diagnosis.The study further proposes a dual-state response mechanism encompassing both routine and emergency scenarios.This response mechanism centers on water conservation for efficiency enhancement,regulatory control for institutional development,and resource expansion for supply assurance,and is integrated into the dynamic early-warning regulation pathway of the"four water-based controls"framework.An empirical study conducted in Ordos,a water-scarce city,identifies that expected indicators in risk areas require particular attention to the aspects of determining the city's land use and production based on water availability.Based on this,targeted countermeasures are proposed.This study provides a theoretical framework and practical reference for implementing the"four water-based controls"principle and enhancing water conservation and intensive utilization.

关键词

"四水四定"/智能监测/风险评价/预警调控/节水增效/控规建制/开源保供

Key words

"four water-based controls"principle/intelligent monitoring/risk assessment/early warning regulation/water conservation for efficiency enhancement/regulatory control for institutional development/resource expansion for supply assurance

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

李溦,彭少明,王浩,邢西刚,郭旭宁,宋秋波,李云玲,朱永楠,姜瑶卿,刘为锋,李原园..面向"四水四定"的"智能监测-风险评价-预警调控"技术构建及应用[J].中国工程科学,2026,28(3):314-327,14.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3206505,2023YFC3206504,2024YFC3211303) (2023YFC3206505,2023YFC3206504,2024YFC3211303)

国家自然科学基金项目(52509029) The National Key Research and Development Program of China Projects(2023YFC3206505,2023YFC3206504,2024YFC3211303) (52509029)

The National Natural Science Foundation of China Project(52509029) (52509029)

中国工程科学

1009-1742

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