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基于机器学习算法构建胃癌新辅助化疗患者术前营养不良的预测模型

林宇晴 黄桂玲 林慧

中国现代医生2026,Vol.64Issue(16):32-37,6.
中国现代医生2026,Vol.64Issue(16):32-37,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-9701.2026.16.007

基于机器学习算法构建胃癌新辅助化疗患者术前营养不良的预测模型

Prediction model for preoperative malnutrition in gastric cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy based on machine learning algorithms

林宇晴 1黄桂玲 1林慧1

作者信息

  • 1. 福建医科大学肿瘤临床医学院 福建省肿瘤医院肿瘤内科,福建 福州 350014
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摘要

Abstract

Objective To investigate factors influencing preoperative malnutrition in gastric cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy,and to construct a predictive model using machine learning algorithms,providing an auxiliary tool for the early clinical identification of high-risk patients.Methods The clinical data of 480 gastric cancer patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy in Fujian Cancer Hospital from January 2021 to July 2025 were collected.They were randomly divided into modeling group(336 cases)and validation group(144 cases)at a ratio of 7∶3.The key predictive factors of malnutrition were screened through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,seven machine learning models were constructed,and the predictive efficacy was compared.The Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)method was adopted to analyze the feature importance of the optimal model.Results The incidence of malnutrition in modeling group and validation group was 48.8%(164/336)and 45.8%(66/144),respectively.LASSO regression identified five related factors:age≥65 years old,female,hypoalbuminemia,body mass index(BMI)<18.5kg/m2,and 4 cycles of neoadjuvant chemotherapy.The extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)model performed the best in both modeling group and validation group.SHAP analysis showed that the order of feature importance was BMI,neoadjuvant chemotherapy cycle,gender,age,and serum albumin level.Conclusion The XGBoost prediction model constructed in this study has good efficacy and interpretability,and can be used to screen individuals at high risk of preoperative malnutrition in patients with gastric cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

关键词

胃癌/新辅助化疗/营养不良/机器学习/预测模型

Key words

Gastric cancer/Neoadjuvant chemotherapy/Malnutrition/Machine Learning/Predictive model

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

林宇晴,黄桂玲,林慧..基于机器学习算法构建胃癌新辅助化疗患者术前营养不良的预测模型[J].中国现代医生,2026,64(16):32-37,6.

中国现代医生

1673-9701

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