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热带气旋灾害脆弱性评估

解晓茹 吴姗姗 滕欣 王凯迪 王新维 张坤珵

海洋开发与管理2026,Vol.43Issue(4):48-59,12.
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海洋开发与管理2026,Vol.43Issue(4):48-59,12.

热带气旋灾害脆弱性评估

Vulnerability Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Disasters:A Case Study of 19 Coastal Districts in Bangladesh

解晓茹 1吴姗姗 2滕欣 3王凯迪 4王新维 2张坤珵5

作者信息

  • 1. 天津大学海洋科学与技术学院 天津 300072||国家海洋技术中心 天津 300112||中国海洋发展基金会海洋空间规划技术重点实验室 北京 100032
  • 2. 国家海洋技术中心 天津 300112
  • 3. 国家海洋技术中心 天津 300112||中国海洋发展基金会海洋空间规划技术重点实验室 北京 100032
  • 4. 中国气象科学研究院青岛海洋气象研究院 青岛 266404||青岛市气象局青岛海洋气象研究中心 青岛 266404
  • 5. 中国海洋大学国际事务与公共管理学院 青岛 266100||中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院 青岛 266100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Bangladesh is one of the countries most severely affected by tropical cyclone disasters worldwide.Systematically identifying the spatial distribution patterns and driving mechanisms of vulnerability is critical to enhancing disaster prevention and mitigation capacities in its coastal areas.This study assesses tropical cyclone disaster vulnerability across 19 coastal districts of Bangladesh by constructing a vulnerability assessment framework based on three dimensions:exposure,sensitivity,and adaptive capacity to characterize the spatial distributions of vulnerability and key driving factors.The results indicate that the spatial pattern of vulnerability across the districts is characterized by higher levels along the eastern coast and lower levels along the western coast,with Chattogram district exhibiting the highest vulnerability and representing a priority area for disaster prevention and mitigation;Vulnerability factors display spatial heterogeneity,with exposure generally decreasing from east to west,while sensitivity and adaptive capacity tend to decrease from west to east;The contribution analysis shows that vulnerability on the western coast areas is mainly driven by sensitivity and adaptive capacity factors,on the central coast by adaptive capacity,and on the eastern coast predominantly by exposure factors,and several regions are characterized by the combined influence of multiple vulnerability factors.This research provides a scientific basis for designing targeted disaster risk reduction strategies in the coastal regions of Bangladesh.

关键词

热带气旋/脆弱性/空间特征/孟加拉国

Key words

Tropical cyclone/Vulnerability/Spatial characteristics/Bangladesh

分类

海洋科学

引用本文复制引用

解晓茹,吴姗姗,滕欣,王凯迪,王新维,张坤珵..热带气旋灾害脆弱性评估[J].海洋开发与管理,2026,43(4):48-59,12.

基金项目

中国海洋发展基金会海洋空间规划技术重点实验室重点课题(C3250C001) (C3250C001)

国家自然科学基金青年项目(42506232) (42506232)

教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD790031) (22JJD790031)

中国气象科学研究院基本科研业务费专项资金(2025Y005). (2025Y005)

海洋开发与管理

1005-9857

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