陕西水利Issue(8)：22-25,4.
吉泰盆地灌区水资源供需平衡分析
Analysis of Water Supply-Demand Balance in the Jitai Basin Irrigation District
摘要
Abstract
The Jitai Basin Irrigation District is located in the middle and lower reaches of the Ganjiang River in central Jiangxi Province and is an important agricultural production area in the province.The itemized-index method was used to estimate water demand in the irrigation district,and water supply was calculated through long-series runoff regulation.The water supply-demand balance under different assurance probabilities in 2035 and 2050 was then analyzed.The results show that under the long-term average condition and an assurance probability of P=85%in 2035,the water-resource supply-demand balance indices are 0.99 and 0.97,respectively.Water supply is slightly greater than demand,and groundwater can serve as a strategic reserve water source.In 2050,the balance index under the long-term average condition is 1.02,indicating a basic balance between supply and demand,while it remains 0.99 under an assurance probability of P=85%.Therefore,the water-resource conditions of the irrigation district can meet its water-demand requirements.关键词
水文学及水资源/供需水平衡/区域水资源供需平衡指数/吉泰盆地Key words
Hydrology and water resources/water supply-demand balance/regional water-resource supply-demand balance index/Jitai Basin分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
刘雁翼,刘玉婷,姚立强,吴涛,孙可可..吉泰盆地灌区水资源供需平衡分析[J].陕西水利,2026,(8):22-25,4.基金项目
中国中铁股份有限公司科技研究开发计划(2022-重大-08) （2022-重大-08）
