中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）2026，Vol.42Issue(4)：39-48,10.DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2026.04.0004
碳交易试点政策能促进产业结构升级吗?
Can Carbon Trading Pilot Policies Promote Industrial Structure Upgrading?:An Empirical Study Based on Multi-period DID Model
摘要
Abstract
Based on panel data from 278 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2019,this study employs a multi-period Differ-ence-in-Differences model to systematically examine the impact mechanism of the carbon trading pilot policy on the upgrading of indus-trial structure in pilot regions.The research results indicate that the carbon trading pilot policy significantly promotes the upgrading of industrial structure in the pilot regions,and this conclusion holds even after a series of robustness tests.Mechanism analysis reveals that corporate green technological innovation and regional green financial development are two effective pathways through which carbon trading pilot policies facilitate industrial structure upgrading.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the policy has a more significant promo-ting effect on the industrial structure upgrading of eastern regions and industrial base cities.Further analysis reveals that the policy pro-motes the industrial structure upgrading of geographically adjacent non-pilot areas through spillover effects.Additionally,there is a time lag in the policy's impact on the industrial structure upgrading of pilot regions themselves.关键词
碳交易试点政策/产业结构升级/多期双重差分模型Key words
carbon trading pilot policy/industrial structure upgrading/multi-period difference-in-differences model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
霍江林,闫琪坤..碳交易试点政策能促进产业结构升级吗?[J].中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）,2026,42(4):39-48,10.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(23BJY102) （23BJY102）
