太平洋学报2026,Vol.34Issue(6):28-41,14.DOI:10.14015/j.cnki.1004-8049.2026.06.003
军政竞争、灵活追随与泰美安全合作弱化
Civil-Military Rivalry,Flexible Alignment,and the Weakening of Thailand-U.S.Security Cooperation
摘要
Abstract
An alliance is essentially a security cooperation relationship concluded between two or more countries.Within the U.S.-led hub-and-spokes alliance system in the Asia-Pacific established after World War Ⅱ,US security cooperation with Japan,South Korea,and Australia has remained consistently robust,while U.S.ties with New Zealand and the Philippines have experienced a process from decline to enhancement.In contrast,why has Thailand-U.S.security cooperation exhibited a trajectory of weakening?Existing scholarship tends to explain this phenomenon predominantly from a great-power perspective or focuses on discrete historical periods.This article offers an alternative theoretical framework by examining the evolution of Thailand-U.S.security cooperation from the standpoint of the weaker ally.The study identifies two primary factors shaping Thailand's posture toward security cooperation with the United States.First,the interests of Thailand's decision-making elites:amid persistent civil-military competition,the paramount objective of Thai elites is the consolidation and perpetuation of political power.Second,the costs of alignment with the United States:under a strategy of flexible band-wagoning,the principal metric by which Thailand assesses the costs of taking sides is the perceived power gap between China and the United States.Driven by the interplay between elite interests and alignment costs,Thailand-U.S.security cooperation has weakened across three distinct phases:Comprehensive Strategic Cooperation(1954-1974),Limited Strategic Cooperation(1975-2008),and Nominal Strategic Cooperation(2009—present).This framework contributes to understanding weak-state agency in the evolution of asymmetric alliance security cooperation and offers policy-relevant implications for assessing the trajectory of U.S.security relations with Thailand and other Asia-Pacific treaty allies.关键词
泰美同盟/军政竞争/灵活追随/安全合作类型/弱国立场Key words
Thailand-U.S.Alliance/civil-military rivalry/flexible alignment/types of security cooperation/stance of weak-states分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
王雄发..军政竞争、灵活追随与泰美安全合作弱化[J].太平洋学报,2026,34(6):28-41,14.基金项目
本文系国家社会科学基金青年项目"周边中小国家的'利基外交'对我国外交环境的影响与政策研究"(21CGJ003)的阶段性研究成果. (21CGJ003)