中国人事科学Issue(6)：31-44,14.
粤港澳大湾区人才与先进制造业耦合协调发展及障碍因素分析
Analysis of the Coupling and Coordinated Development of Talent and Advanced Manufacturing in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and Its Obstacle Factors
摘要
Abstract
Advanced manufacturing is the most dynamic field of the real economy in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area(GBA)and the main arena for the formation and development of new-quality productivity.Its coordinated development with talent directly relates to regional industrial upgrading and innovation efficiency.Based on panel data from the nine mainland cities in the GBA from 2012 to 2022,this study systematically investigates the coupling coordination level,key obstacle factors,and future evolution trends using a coupling coordination model,an obstacle degree model,and a grey prediction model.The study finds that the overall coupling coordination degree in the Greater Bay Area is relatively low,with the core crux being the lag in talent development,although the overall trend is positive.There are significant differences among cities,forming a"dual-core,multi-gradient"spatial pattern with Shenzhen and Guangzhou as the dual cores.The coordination level of central cities is significantly higher than that of peripheral cities.Obstacle factor diagnosis indicates that talent shortage,insufficient industrial scale benefits,and lack of scientific research investment are the three main obstacles restricting coordinated development.Notably,the obstacle degree of talent scale has risen from 21.33％in 2012 to 25.16％in 2022,surpassing industrial scale to become the primary obstacle factor in 2018.Predictions show it will further rise to 28.8％by 2027,highlighting the urgent need to address the talent shortage.Based on the above conclusions,the study proposes targeted suggestions from aspects such as building cross-border collaborative innovation platforms,deepening industry-university-research cooperation,promoting diversified incentives for scientific and technological innovation,and increasing scientific research investment and corporate R&D tax incentives,aiming to provide decision-making references for promoting the high-quality coordinated development of advanced manufacturing and talent in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.关键词
粤港澳大湾区/先进制造业/产才协调/耦合协调/障碍度Key words
Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area/Advanced manufacturing/Industry-talent coordination/Coupling coordination/Obstacle degree分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
吴凡,黄焕水,魏红英..粤港澳大湾区人才与先进制造业耦合协调发展及障碍因素分析[J].中国人事科学,2026,(6):31-44,14.基金项目
本文系国家社会科学基金项目"中国—东盟职业资格互认协同机制研究"(项目编号:23XZZ006) （项目编号:23XZZ006）
广东省哲学社会科学规划2023年度人才研究专项"强化粤港澳大湾区'一点两地'新定位人才支撑的策略研究"(项目编号:GD23RCZ01)的阶段研究成果. （项目编号:GD23RCZ01）
