灾害学2026，Vol.41Issue(4)：24-30,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2026.04.003
城市应急管理中灾害演化、结构嵌入与组织间合作关系形成研究
Disaster Evolution,Structural Embedding,and Inter-organizational Relationship Formation in Urban Emergency Management:Empirical Analysis Based on MERGM
摘要
Abstract
The driving mechanisms of collaborative relationships among emergency management agencies is a prominent research topic.However,existing literature lacks sufficient exploration of how disaster evolution and structural embeddedness influence the formation of inter-organizational collaboration.A multi-layer network model is employed in this research to simulate the disaster evolution and response process,proposing research hy-potheses on how disaster evolution and structural embeddedness impact the formation of these collaborations.Utilizing network configurations to characterize the formation mechanisms,an empirical analysis focused on Dis-trict A is conducted.By applying Multi-level Exponential Random Graph Models(MERGMs)to test the hypoth-eses,the intrinsic mechanisms are indicated through which disaster evolution and structural embeddedness drive inter-organizational collaboration.The findings indicate that sectors responding to the same emergency are more inclined to form collaborative relationships.Furthermore,agencies responsible for primary emergencies that trig-ger secondary disasters are more likely to collaborate with others.Simultaneously,two sectors sharing a common partner are more prone to collaborate with each other,and participating units demonstrate a preference for collab-orating with organizations situated at the central positions of the network.Scientific guidance is provided for local governments in this study to strengthen the emergency management systems.关键词
城市应急管理/组织间合作关系/灾害演化/结构嵌入/多层指数随机图模型Key words
urban emergency management/inter-organizational collaborative relationships/disaster evolu-tion/structural embedding/multilevel exponential random graph model分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
唐攀,邵士琪,周大鹏..城市应急管理中灾害演化、结构嵌入与组织间合作关系形成研究[J].灾害学,2026,41(4):24-30,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目"面向跨部门合作机制优化设计的超大城市复杂应急管理组织体系的运行与演化机理及其仿真分析研究"(7237040674) （7237040674）
国家社会科学基金项目"面向粤港澳大湾区合作治理需求的跨区域应急联动网络研究"(20BZZ037) （20BZZ037）
中央科研培育基金"粤港澳大湾区建设中的城市灾害治理模式研究"(21612301) （21612301）
