重庆理工大学学报2026,Vol.40Issue(10):92-105,14.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8425(s).2026.05.009
数字经济赋能制造业产业链韧性:机制识别与非线性效应
Digital economy empowering the resilience of the manufacturing industry chain:Mechanism identification and nonlinear effects
摘要
Abstract
Enhancing the resilience of the manufacturing industrial chain is a priority in building a modern industrial system,with digital economy serving as a key driving force.Based on panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2023,this study employs a two-way fixed effect model,a mediation effect model,and a threshold effect model to empirically examine the driving effect,mechanisms,and nonlinear effects of digital economy on the resilience of the manufacturing industrial chain.The findings reveal that digital economy has a significant positive driving effect on the resilience of the manufacturing industrial chain.This conclusion remains valid after robustness and endogeneity tests.Digital economy has the strongest facilitating effect on the recovery capacity of firms,with more pronounced effects in eastern and western regions.Mechanism analysis shows that the digital economy indirectly enhances the resilience of the manufacturing industrial chain by incentivizing green technology innovation and promoting industrial structure upgrading.Furthermore,a single threshold effect based on science and technology expenditure is identified,indicating that the promoting effect of the digital economy on industrial chain resilience increases significantly when such expenditure exceeds the threshold.Therefore,policies should focus on strengthening digital infrastructure,promoting the three-axis linkage of digitalization,green development and high-end upgrading,and optimizing investments in science and technology to fully leverage the key driving role of digital economy and support the construction of a modern industrial system.关键词
数字经济/产业链韧性/绿色技术创新/产业结构升级Key words
digital economy/industrial chain resilience/green technology innovation/industrial structure upgrading分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
乌兰,钱俊蓉,刘佳..数字经济赋能制造业产业链韧性:机制识别与非线性效应[J].重庆理工大学学报,2026,40(10):92-105,14.基金项目
内蒙古自治区哲学社会科学规划项目"数字经济赋能内蒙古制造业产业链韧性的理论机制与创新路径"(2023NDC145) (2023NDC145)
内蒙古自治区自然科学基金项目"新质生产力赋能制造业产业链韧性的理论机制、效应评估与实现路径"(2025MS07026) (2025MS07026)