创新科技2026，Vol.26Issue(8)：66-77,12.DOI:10.19345/j.cxkj.1671-0037.2026.8.6
科幻创意引领技术创新的理论框架:模式、机理与风险
A Theoretical Framework for Science Fiction Creativity Leading Technological Innovation:Patterns,Mechanisms,and Risks
摘要
Abstract
In the face of the"uncharted territory"innovation predicament in the field of cutting-edge technologies,science fiction creativity is increasingly becoming an important cul-tural resource for stimulating technological inspiration and shaping forward-looking technologi-cal visions.This article aims to clarify the connotation and extension of science fiction creativity,establish a typological analysis framework,identify the typical patterns of science fiction creativ-ity leading technological innovation,analyze the internal mechanism of science fiction creativity leading technological innovation,extract the main risks of science fiction creativity leading tech-nological innovation,and propose countermeasures and suggestions for the main risks.First,by integrating the technological society imagination theory and the signal theory,the article defines science fiction creativity as"a creative knowledge unit that is rooted in scientific logic and sys-tematically imagines and constructs future technological forms and their social embedding in a narrative and contextualized manner".It also classifies science fiction creativity into four types:rule reconstruction type,boundary dissolution type,negative rehearsal type,and meaning para-digm type.Second,based on the differentiation of dominant entities and the structural character-istics of the system,the article classifies the process of leading technological innovation through science fiction creativity into three typical models:the national mission-driven model,the enter-prise vision-pushing model,and the community network-emerging model.Third,the article has constructed a five-dimensional theoretical model of"direction-resource-society-system-ecology"for the leading role of science fiction creativity in technological innovation:the direc-tion dimension leads to the cognitive framework of the R&D entities,which belongs to the indi-vidual cognitive level;the resource dimension leads to the allocation mechanism of production factors,which belongs to the organizational behavior level;the social society dimension leads to the attitude structure of the public and the market,which belongs to the social psychological level;the system dimension leads to the formation process of the rule system,which belongs to the governance structure level;the ecology dimension leads to the network form of multi-party collaboration,which belongs to the system integration level.Fourth,the article reveals three types of structural risks:micro-level risks such as rigid contract governance,alienated relation-ship governance,and resistance to autonomy in digital governance;meso-level risks including cognitive interface breakdown,unfair distribution of benefits,and imbalance in risk assumption;and macro-level risks such as deviation in cross-level transmission,policy conflicts across types,and dynamic imbalance across periods.Fifth,in response to these risks,the article pro-poses the following countermeasures and suggestions:at the micro level,construct a"contract-relation-digital"tripartite collaborative composite governance framework;at the meso level,build a value creation mechanism for multi-party innovation collaboration;at the macro level,construct a"cross-level-cross-type-cross-period"multi-modal policy combination.The article provides a new explanatory framework for understanding the cognitive origin of"from 0 to 1"technological breakthroughs.关键词
科幻创意/技术创新/原始创新/技术预见/前沿技术/模式/机理/风险Key words
science fiction creativity/technological innovation/original innovation/technol-ogy foresight/cutting-edge technology/patterns/mechanisms/risks分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
施佳蓉,蒋子浩,刘志迎,姚君..科幻创意引领技术创新的理论框架:模式、机理与风险[J].创新科技,2026,26(8):66-77,12.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目"创新链与产业链耦合的关键核心技术实现机理与突破路径研究"(22&ZD094) （22&ZD094）
国家资助博士后研究人员计划"人工智能时代面向颠覆式创新的产业政策组合优化策略研究——以可再生能源为例"(GZC20251160) （GZC20251160）
国家资助博士后研究人员计划"科幻创意对技术创新的引领机理及实现路径研究"(GZC20260954) （GZC20260954）
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目"不确定情境下产业政策组合对可再生能源产业关键核心技术突破的作用、机制和优化策略研究"(2025QN1167). （2025QN1167）
