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基于Copula相关性建模的机电复合传动装置系统可靠性分析

郭磊 沈鉴彪 李慎龙 李训明 李同辉 张楠 张睦扬 王兴坚

北京航空航天大学学报2026,Vol.52Issue(8):2748-2755,8.
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北京航空航天大学学报2026,Vol.52Issue(8):2748-2755,8.DOI:10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2026.0098

基于Copula相关性建模的机电复合传动装置系统可靠性分析

Reliability analysis of an electromechanical integrated transmission system based on Copula correlation modeling

郭磊 1沈鉴彪 1李慎龙 1李训明 1李同辉 1张楠 1张睦扬 2王兴坚3

作者信息

  • 1. 中国北方车辆研究所,北京 100072
  • 2. 北京航空航天大学 自动化科学与电气工程学院,北京 100191
  • 3. 北京航空航天大学 自动化科学与电气工程学院,北京 100191||北京航空航天大学宁波创新研究院,宁波 315800
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Considering the correlated failure characteristics of multiple subsystems in an electromechanical integrated transmission system arising from load transfer,control loops,and functional coupling,this study introduces a Copula-based approach to model the internal dependency structure while preserving the marginal reliability models of individual subsystems.By mapping subsystem lifetime data into a unified probability space via cumulative distribution functions,the proposed method achieves decoupled modeling of marginal distributions and dependency structures.The process for creating failure time samples is described,and a Gaussian Copula is chosen to build the system-level joint failure model based on an examination of the dependency characteristics of several Copula families combined with engineering failure mechanisms.The dependency structure of the generated samples is validated using the Kendall τ rank correlation coefficient,and the results show good consistency with the predefined correlation matrix.Additional investigation finds high-risk areas of joint failure and reveals a significant coupling link between the drive motor controller and the motor drive subsystem.The results demonstrate that the Copula-based framework can effectively characterize system-level correlated failures,providing quantitative support for coordinated monitoring and maintenance decision-making.

关键词

Copula 函数/机电复合传动装置/系统可靠性/依赖结构建模/联合失效分析

Key words

Copula function/electromechanical integrated transmission device/system reliability/dependence structure modeling/joint failure analysis

分类

通用工业技术

引用本文复制引用

郭磊,沈鉴彪,李慎龙,李训明,李同辉,张楠,张睦扬,王兴坚..基于Copula相关性建模的机电复合传动装置系统可靠性分析[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2026,52(8):2748-2755,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(52275044,62303030,U2233212) National Natural Science Foundation of China(52275044,62303030,U2233212) (52275044,62303030,U2233212)

北京航空航天大学学报

1001-5965

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