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天然气价格倒挂下的隐性交叉补贴机制与财务风险研究

周勤芳

国际石油经济2026,Vol.34Issue(8):53-62,10.
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国际石油经济2026,Vol.34Issue(8):53-62,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.08.005

天然气价格倒挂下的隐性交叉补贴机制与财务风险研究

The implicit cross-subsidy mechanism and financial risks under residential gas price-cost inversion:taking multi-city cases as examples

周勤芳1

作者信息

  • 1. 杭州市燃气集团有限公司
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under the constraints of incomplete pass-through of residential gas costs,some cities have gradually developed an implicit cross-subsidy mechanism,whereby profits from higher-priced non-residential gas sales are used to offset losses from residential gas supply.This paper conducts comparative case analyses of such six cities as Fuzhou,Shenzhen,Nanjing,Hangzhou,Wenzhou,and Jiaxing.The results show that Shenzhen and Nanjing have provided local gas suppliers with greater flexibility in adjusting non-residential gas prices,thereby supporting the sustainability of implicit cross-subsidies.Fuzhou gas company carried out a linkage based adjustment on residential gas prices in 2024 and achieved sound cost control with low-cost natural gas supplied under long-term contracts from Indonesia.Wenzhou also introduced a residential gas price linkage mechanism and maintained a reasonable gross profit margin in 2025,benefiting from its low gas distribution tariff of only RMB 0.58 per cubic meter.Although Jiaxing has a favorable gas consumption structure,with residential gas accounting for less than 20%of total gas sales,delayed residential gas price adjustments resulted in a situation of increasing revenue without corresponding profit growth in 2024.In contrast,Hangzhou encounters acute price-cost inversion due to the price ceiling imposed on non-residential gas,a decade long freeze on residential gas rates and residential gas consumption accounting for far more than 50 percent of its total gas deliveries.It reveals the passive formation mechanism and failure conditions of implicit cross-subsidies,systematically analyzes financial risks arising from price-cost inversion,and puts forward some policy recommendations.

关键词

价格倒挂/隐性交叉补贴/城市燃气/财务风险/价格联动机制/用户用气结构/配气价格管控

Key words

price-cost inversion/implicit cross-subsidy/urban gas industry/financial risk/gas price linkage mechanism/gas consumption structure/gas distribution tariff regulation

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

周勤芳..天然气价格倒挂下的隐性交叉补贴机制与财务风险研究[J].国际石油经济,2026,34(8):53-62,10.

国际石油经济

OACHSSCD

1004-7298

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