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内蒙古复合干旱和热浪事件特征及其归因

郭佳丽 郭恩亮 王永芳 王俊

高原气象2026,Vol.45Issue(4):998-1010,13.
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高原气象2026,Vol.45Issue(4):998-1010,13.DOI:10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2025.00112

内蒙古复合干旱和热浪事件特征及其归因

Analysis of the characteristics and attribution of compound drought and heatwave events in Inner Mongolia

郭佳丽 1郭恩亮 1王永芳 2王俊1

作者信息

  • 1. 内蒙古师范大学地理科学学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010022
  • 2. 内蒙古师范大学地理科学学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010022||蒙古高原气候变化与区域响应高校重点实验室,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010022
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under the background of global climate warming,compound drought and heatwave events(Com-pound Drought and Heatwave,CDHW)are having a profound impact various regions worldwide with increasing frequency,intensity,and duration.Based on the daily temperature and precipitation data from 1961 to 2021 in Inner Mongolia,we employed a daily-scale standardized index to identify different CDHW events in the study ar-ea.Subsequently,we analyzed the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and influencing factors of vari-ous CDHW events using climate tendency rate,partial correlation analysis and geographic detectors.The results show that:the duration,frequency,drought intensity and heatwave intensity of the four types of CDHW events in Inner Mongolia from 1961 to 2021 increased gradually from the southwest to the northeast;The characteristic indicators of the four types of CDHW events exhibited an upward trend,with significant increases observed in the intersection type(d-and-h)and the heatwave conditioned on droughttype(h-cond-d)events;The correlation be-tween precipitation and the changes in the four types of CDHW events was found to be high,with over 97%of the significance tests indicating a significant relationship;Soil type and downward shortwave radiation at the sur-face were identified as the main driving factors for the duration and frequency of different types of CDHW events.Moreover,the interaction between various driving factors showed an enhanced explanatory power for du-ration and frequency,with a greater impact observed on duration.

关键词

复合干旱和热浪事件/偏相关分析/地理探测器/内蒙古

Key words

compound drought and heatwave events/partial Correlation Analysis/geographical detector/Inner Mongolia

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

郭佳丽,郭恩亮,王永芳,王俊..内蒙古复合干旱和热浪事件特征及其归因[J].高原气象,2026,45(4):998-1010,13.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金地区项目(42261019) (42261019)

一流学科科研专项项目(YLXKZX-NSD-027) (YLXKZX-NSD-027)

内蒙古自治区自然科学基金面上项目(2024MS04002) (2024MS04002)

内蒙古自治区重点研发和成果转化计划项目(2025YFSH0056,2025KJHZ0047) (2025YFSH0056,2025KJHZ0047)

高原气象

1000-0534

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