华侨大学学报（自然科学版）2026，Vol.47Issue(5)：542-549,8.DOI:10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.202510067
不同微物理和边界层参数化组合方案对台风"杜苏芮"模拟的影响
Influence of Different Parameterization Combination Schemes of Microphysics and Boundary Layer on Simulation of Typhoon"Doksuri"
摘要
Abstract
An efficient multi-parameter sensitivity analysis framework is proposed,based on the weather re-search forecast(WRF)model,employing the full-factorial experimental design,3 microphysics schemes(Thompson,aerosol,and wsm6 microphysics schemes)are combined with 3 boundary layer schemes(MYNN2,MYNN3,and UWBL boundary layer schemes)to match 9 combinations.Using systematical isola-tion and quantification,the independent and interactive effects of microphysics schemes and boundary layer schemes on the track and intensity simulations of the 2023 super typhoon"Doksuri"are analyzed,and the asymmetry of their influence weights are revealed.The results shows that microphysics schemes have a greater impact on typhoon tracks than boundary layer schemes,and the aerosol microphysics scheme combination simulation has the smallest average track error.Comparing with microphysics schemes,the simulation effect of typhoon intensity is more sensitive to changes in boundary layer schemes,the UWBL boundary layer scheme can significantly improve the prediction accuracy of central pressure and wind speed.The optimal scheme is the combination of Thompson microphysics scheme with UWBL boundary layer scheme.关键词
天气研究与预报(WRF)模式/边界层方案/微物理方案/台风路径/台风强度Key words
weather research forecast(WRF)model/boundary layer scheme/microphysics scheme/typhoon track/typhoon intensity分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
周佩佩,陈昌萍..不同微物理和边界层参数化组合方案对台风"杜苏芮"模拟的影响[J].华侨大学学报（自然科学版）,2026,47(5):542-549,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(52178510) （52178510）
