水力发电2026，Vol.52Issue(9)：71-76,85,7.
融合节点边际电价和t分布的新能源发电项目全生命周期市场化电价测算方法研究
Market-oriented Electricity Price Calculating Method for the Whole Life Cycle of Renewable Energy Projects Integrating Locational Marginal Price and t-distribution Method
魏景东 1邱辰 1辛颂旭 1郭雁珩 1冯泽深1
作者信息
- 1. 水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
After the introduction of the new market-oriented policies for renewable energy,the logic of project investment decision-making has undergone a major transformation.Against the backdrop of the latest policy developments and aiming to address the prominent industry challenge of the difficulty in scientifically measuring the comprehensive grid-connected electricity price of new energy,this paper proposes a market-oriented electricity price measurement method for the whole life cycle of new energy power generation projects that integrates locational marginal price and t-distribution.By applying the locational marginal price theory,t-distribution and scenario-based modeling,the method sequentially forecasts the electricity prices in the spot market,medium and long-term market,as well as the mechanism-based electricity price.Meanwhile,it calculates the comprehensive electricity price during the project operation period by incorporating the cost allocation under the Two Detailed Rules and the green environmental premium.The effectiveness of the proposed measurement method is verified by a case study of a typical wind power project.关键词
新能源发电/电力市场/节点边际电价/t分布/机制电价/投资决策Key words
renewable energy power generation/electricity market/locational marginal price/t-distribution method/mechanism price/investment decision分类
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魏景东,邱辰,辛颂旭,郭雁珩,冯泽深..融合节点边际电价和t分布的新能源发电项目全生命周期市场化电价测算方法研究[J].水力发电,2026,52(9):71-76,85,7.
