现代情报2026，Vol.46Issue(9)：76-88,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1008-0821.2026.09.007
演化过程视角下融合双元关系的突破性技术识别研究
Breakthrough Technology Identification by Integrating Dual Relationships From the Perspective of Technological Evolution
摘要
Abstract
[Purpose/Significance]Breakthrough technology identification is important for improving technology fore-sight,optimizing innovation resource allocation,and understanding industrial evolution.Existing studies have provided useful insights,but further refinement remains necessary in the characterization of stage-specific technological features and the joint use of citation and similarity relationships.To address these issues,the study aims to develop a breakthrough tech-nology identification framework from the perspective of technological evolution.The framework integrates citation relation-ships,which reflect knowledge sources and diffusion paths,with similarity relationships,which capture technological pro-ximity and structural differences.It identifies breakthrough technologies by examining novelty,uniqueness,and influence across different stages of technological evolution.[Method/Process]The study constructed a staged identification framework based on technology formation,technology differentiation,and technology diffusion.In the formation stage,backward cita-tion relationships described the knowledge base of a target technology,while knowledge distance and knowledge diversity evaluated novelty.In the differentiation stage,the study compared the target technology with patents from the same period and examined technological proximity differences and knowledge-base differences to evaluate uniqueness.In the diffusion stage,forward citation relationships described subsequent diffusion objects,while technological inheritance consistency and knowledge-structure change evaluated influence.Citation relationships defined knowledge sources,contemporaneous reference objects,and subsequent diffusion objects.Similarity relationships based on patent classification structures mea-sured technological differences among these objects.Through progressive screening,the study linked knowledge base,con-temporaneous position,and subsequent diffusion direction.[Result/Conclusion]Using 26 434 granted patents in the AI chip field from the IncoPat global patent database,the study identified 1 865 breakthrough technology patents.These pa-tents mainly concentrate in computing processing,underlying devices,image perception,and information transmission.Technological themes show a clear evolutionary pattern:early-stage breakthrough technologies focus on parallel com-puting,programmable hardware,and engineering-oriented foundational capabilities,while later-stage themes move toward dedicated AI acceleration,edge-side processing,and system-level integration.This pattern indicates that breakthrough technologies in the AI chip field develop through the interaction of computing architecture,device capability,perception tasks,and system integration demands.Further topic comparison,citation-based tests,and expert evaluation show that the identified breakthrough patents have good external validity.Overall,the proposed framework combines evolutionary process analysis with dual relational information and provides a quantitative basis for technology assessment and R&D lay-out in the AI chip field.关键词
突破性技术/技术演化过程/双元关系/AI芯片/复杂网络Key words
breakthrough technology/technological evolution process/dual relationships/AI chips/complex networks分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
王慧扬,刘建华,陈子洹,赵玉冰..演化过程视角下融合双元关系的突破性技术识别研究[J].现代情报,2026,46(9):76-88,13.基金项目
河南省软科学重大项目"建立健全社会主义市场经济条件下关键核心技术攻关新型举国体制河南路径探索"(项目编号:242400411004) （项目编号:242400411004）
河南省杰出外籍科学家工作室资助项目"绿色低碳技术与能源转型"(项目编号:GZS2024001) （项目编号:GZS2024001）
中国工程科技发展战略河南研究院战略咨询研究项目"河南省氢能发展战略与技术路线"(项目编号:2026HENYB02) （项目编号:2026HENYB02）
国家社会科学基金项目"'链群'视域下关键核心技术突破的层级协同机制与实现路径"(项目编号:24CGL011). （项目编号:24CGL011）
