中国农业资源与区划2026，Vol.47Issue(6)：214-224,11.DOI:10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20260618
水稻产业空间集聚趋势分析及影响因素研究
DEVELOPMENT TRENDS AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF RICE INDUSTRY CLUSTERS
摘要
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the spatial agglomeration changes and influencing factors of the rice industry in Sichuan province,with the objective of providing theoretical support for optimizing regional distribution,strengthening policy coordination,and constructing a"Tianfu Granary"at a higher level in the new era.Based on panel data from 135 districts and counties in Sichuan province spanning 2010-2022,methods including the location Gini coefficient,industrial concentration ratio,location quotient,and Moran's index were employed to examine the dynamic evolution of Sichuan's rice industry spatial distribution.A geodetector model was further applied to quantify both single-factor effects and interaction mechanisms influencing the spatial agglomeration of the rice industry.The Results were indicated as follows.From 2010 to 2022,the overall spatial agglomeration of Sichuan's rice industry remained relatively stable,with the location Gini coefficient fluctuating between 0.21 and 0.24.The industrial concentration ratio of the top 30 districts and counties rose from 44.7％ to 46.5％,indicating a gradual trend toward concentration in advantageous areas.The global Moran's index ranged from 0.109 to 0.127,reflecting significant positive spatial autocorrelation.The location quotient exhibited a"decline-then-rise"fluctuation pattern(1.00～1.31),with comparative advantages continuously strengthening in recent years.Geodetector results revealed that natural endowment factors,particularly rice cultivation area and effective irrigation area,had the strongest explanatory power.Specifically,the northwestern Sichuan rice zone was characterized as natural endowment-dominated,while the southeastern Sichuan rice zone was socioeconomic-driven.In summary,to promote the sustainable development of Sichuan's rice industry,region-specific differentiated development strategies should be pursued,industrial agglomeration toward advantageous areas should be supported,policy coordination and technology-driven empowerment should be strengthened,and strict farmland protection and land-use controls should be enforced.关键词
水稻产业集聚/空间集聚/影响因素/地理探测器/县域Key words
rice industry cluster/spatial agglomeration/influencing factors/Geodetector/county-level regions分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张灵芝,郭耀辉,杜兴端,刘宗敏,何鹏..水稻产业空间集聚趋势分析及影响因素研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2026,47(6):214-224,11.基金项目
国家社科基金项目"粮食安全目标下构建耕地种植用途管控长效机制研究"(23XJY006) （23XJY006）
1+9科技攻关"天府农科发展战略研究基础理论和支撑技术"(1+9KJGG009) （1+9KJGG009）
四川创新团队大数据构建与应用(SCCXTD-2025-20) （SCCXTD-2025-20）
