中南大学学报（自然科学版）2026，Vol.57Issue(7)：3132-3147,16.DOI:10.11817/j.issn.1672-7207.2026.07.020
基于灾害系统理论的尾矿库溃坝致因与风险防控研究
Research on causes and risk prevention of tailings dam failures based on disaster system theory
摘要
Abstract
Disaster systems theory was employed to reconstruct the dam failure cognitive framework,three core elements,i.e.,the disaster-incubating environment,the disaster-bearing entity and the disaster-inducing factors were integrated.By analyzing over 40 typical tailings dam failures globally within the past 60 years,key disaster-inducing factors including flood overtopping,seismic events,dam body instability and seepage failure were identified.The systemic nature of tailings dam failure was highlighted by multi-factor synergistic disaster induction and dynamic system coupling.Furthermore,disaster system theory for dimensional analysis was applied,a three-tier risk prevention system for tailings dam failure including safety monitoring,disaster warning and emergency response was constructed.The results show that spatiotemporal coverage through multi-source sensing is the core path for upgrading the monitoring system,intelligient diagnosis and real-time feedback are key breakthroughs for advancing the warning paradigm,and a multidimensional response emergency system coupled with closed-loop resilience optimization is the core guarantees for enhancing emergency response effectiveness.关键词
尾矿库/溃坝/灾害系统/致灾因子/风险防控Key words
tailings pond/dam failure/disaster systems/disaster-causing factors/risk prevention and control分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
周子龙,王子裕,王又武,谢睿,游玉佩,高靖遥..基于灾害系统理论的尾矿库溃坝致因与风险防控研究[J].中南大学学报（自然科学版）,2026,57(7):3132-3147,16.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(52334003) （52334003）
云天化科技项目(YTH-4080-WB-FW-2025-027841-00)(Project(52334003)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （YTH-4080-WB-FW-2025-027841-00）
Project(YTH-4080-WB-FW-2025-027841-00)supported by the Technology Project of Yunnan Yuntianhua Co.Ltd.) （YTH-4080-WB-FW-2025-027841-00）
