计算机工程与应用2026，Vol.62Issue(17)：378-384,7.DOI:10.3778/j.issn.1002-8331.2508-0058
基于DEMATEL技术的能源消费组合预测模型
Energy Consumption Combination Forecasting Model Based on DEMATEL Technique
摘要
Abstract
Global energy consumption continues to grow,but the energy structure is gradually transitioning toward low-carbonization.Scientific forecasting and optimization management of energy consumption are of great significance for balancing economic growth and environmental protection.This paper proposes an energy consumption combination fore-casting model based on DEMATEL technique.Firstly,the direct prediction accuracy matrix,normalized prediction accuracy matrix,comprehensive prediction accuracy matrix,prediction accuracy,prediction accuracy index,inverse prediction accuracy index,and prediction center accuracy of the single prediction method are defined.Then,the properties of the pro-posed concepts are investigated,and an energy consumption combination forecasting model based on DEMATEL tech-nique is proposed,and the proposed method is applied to the prediction of total energy consumption combinations.Fur-thermore,the new model is compared with existing single prediction methods and other combination prediction methods,demonstrating that it achieves higher prediction accuracy.关键词
组合预测/决策实验室法(DEMATEL)/能源消费/预测精度Key words
combination forecasting/decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL)/energy consump-tion/prediction accuracy分类
自科综合引用本文复制引用
储小禾,陈胜伟,袁丽娜,叶康,胡晔,周礼刚..基于DEMATEL技术的能源消费组合预测模型[J].计算机工程与应用,2026,62(17):378-384,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(72571003,72571002,72171002,U22A20366,72271002,72201004,72301003) （72571003,72571002,72171002,U22A20366,72271002,72201004,72301003）
安徽省高校学科(专业)拔尖人才学术资助项目(gxbjZD2020056) （专业）
安徽省高校优秀科研创新团队项目(2024AH010002) （2024AH010002）
大学生创新创业项目(3121026) （3121026）
安徽省学科(专业)带头人培育项目(DTR2024039). （专业）
