能源研究与管理2026，Vol.18Issue(3)：78-86,9.DOI:10.16056/j.2096-7705.2026.03.009
基于LEAP的零碳都市型园区建设关键技术应用规划
Application Planning of Key Technologies for Zero Carbon Urban-type Park Construction Based on LEAP
摘要
Abstract
Urban-type parks are the carriers of modern integration of industry and city.To explore the implementation pathways for key technologies in constructing zero carbon urban-type parks and to advance practical development of zero carbon parks in China,this study utilized the long-range energy alternatives planning system(LEAP)to develop methods for carbon emission accounting,simulation prediction,and planning of key technologies applicable to urban-type parks.Taking the urban-type park D as an example,a scenario analysis model was constructed using the LEAP software to calculate the total carbon emissions of the park under two scenarios and predict its future trend.The results show that,in 2023,the total carbon emissions of the park were 1 439 027 tons.Under the baseline scenario,the carbon emissions of the park continue to rise,reaching 1 763 953 tons in 2030.The carbon emissions generated by unit energy consumption of the core target fail to meet the requirements.However,in the zero carbon scenario,the carbon emissions of the park decrease year by year,reaching 127 313 tons in 2030.The carbon emissions generated by unit energy consumption drop to 0.17 tons per ton of standard coal equivalent,meeting the target requirement of less than 0.20 tons per ton of standard coal equivalent.Based on the scenario parameters,key technology application plans for green electricity substitution,energy efficiency improvement,industrial optimization,and energy-carbon management are designed in each sector of the park.The overall planning of the park includes 280 MW of distributed photovoltaic power,910 MW of centralized wind power,and 220 MW/880 MW·h of electrochemical energy storage,and a dual-carbon comprehensive management platform is also established.The agricultural sector will build 466.67 hectares of high-standard farmland.The construction sector will popularize BIM and equipment electrification.The business service sector will complete energy-saving renovations of 80 000 square meters of building area,replace 6 000 old lamps,and renovate coal-fired stoves,etc.The transportation sector will establish a photovoltaic-storage-charging integrated system and achieve the deployment of 1 600 new energy vehicles in use.The industrial sector will conduct heat recovery,equipment renewal,and the closure of high-carbon emission cement plants.The park takes multiple measures to promote energy conservation and efficiency improvement,as well as the electrification of terminal energy consumption,and relies on green electricity to achieve large-scale carbon reduction.This research focuses on achieving the zero carbon park construction goal,develops a full-process application planning system of key technologies for zero carbon urban-type parks construction,and provides reference ideas for other domestic parks to carry out zero carbon planning.关键词
零碳园区/都市型园区/LEAP/情景分析/碳排放核算/关键技术Key words
zero carbon park/urban-type park/long-range energy alternatives planning system(LEAP)/scenario analysis/carbon emission accounting/key technology分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
李刚,卓超凡,骆跃军,宋文超,宋庆飞,刘璐..基于LEAP的零碳都市型园区建设关键技术应用规划[J].能源研究与管理,2026,18(3):78-86,9.基金项目
中国电力建设股份有限公司科技项目"基于国产知识产权的电力工程数字化关键技术研究及软件研发课题5:区域低碳智慧能源系统关键技术研究"(DJ-ZDXM-2023-45) （DJ-ZDXM-2023-45）
