河北水利电力学院学报2026，Vol.36Issue(3)：6-9,41,5.DOI:10.16046/j.cnki.issn2096-5680.2026.03.002
基于AHP的沧州市水生态环境健康评估与预测研究
Study on Health Evaluation and Prediction of Water Ecological Environment in Cangzhou City Based on AHP
摘要
Abstract
A healthy water ecological environment serves as the fundamental guarantee for urban sus-tainable development and social well-being.Taking Cangzhou City,Hebei Province as the research object,this paper constructs a water ecological environment health assessment index system in response to the construction requirements of an"ecological civilization city"and a"sponge city".The system covers five aspects:water environment,water resource endowment,water conservancy landscape,water-related management,and water vein culture,with a total of 42 specif-ic indicators.The index weights are determined by comprehensively using the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and expert scoring method.Combined with statistical yearbooks,monitoring data and question-naire survey results from 2018 to 2022,a comprehensive assessment of Cangzhou City is carried out.The comprehensive evaluation results show that the overall health status of the water ecosystem in Cangzhou presents a trend of continuous improvement and steady enhancement year by year,with water environmen-tal quality and water resource supply and utilization as the main driving factors.Prediction using factor a-nalysis and linear regression model indicates that the water ecological environment health in Cangzhou will maintain a positive trend from 2025 to 2030.The results can provide theoretical basis and decision-making reference for the construction of ecological civilization in Cangzhou and other similar cities.关键词
水生态环境健康/评估指标体系/层次分析法(AHP)/因子分析/沧州市Key words
water ecological environment health/assessment index system/Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)/factor analysis/Cangzhou city分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
哈建强..基于AHP的沧州市水生态环境健康评估与预测研究[J].河北水利电力学院学报,2026,36(3):6-9,41,5.基金项目
沧州市科技计划项目(202109020) （202109020）
