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基于TimeMixer时序预测的电力系统宽频振荡快速辨识

赵妍 范彬雪 李亚波 刘闯

电力系统保护与控制2026,Vol.54Issue(17):97-109,13.
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电力系统保护与控制2026,Vol.54Issue(17):97-109,13.DOI:10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.260233

基于TimeMixer时序预测的电力系统宽频振荡快速辨识

Fast identification of power system wideband oscillations based on TimeMixer time-series prediction

赵妍 1范彬雪 1李亚波 2刘闯1

作者信息

  • 1. 东北电力大学电气工程学院,吉林 吉林 132012
  • 2. 国网浙江省电力有限公司杭州市富阳区供电公司,浙江 杭州 310000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Conventional wideband oscillation identification methods for power systems rely exclusively on measured data,resulting in inherent delays that make them unsuitable for the low-latency,real-time monitoring and control requirements of new power systems.To address this limitation,this paper proposes a fast wideband oscillation identification method integrated with TimeMixer time-series prediction.First,a multi-scale decomposition module is employed to generate multi-scale time-series representations suitable for different frequency bands.The past-decomposable mixing(PDM)module then conducts seasonal-trend decomposition and bidirectional cross-scale feature mixing to obtain comprehensive temporal representations.Finally,the future multi-predictor mixing(FMM)module executes independent per-scale prediction and adaptive weighted fusion to produce high-precision short-term future waveforms.By dynamically extending measured data with predicted waveforms,a hybrid measured-predicted time series is constructed,enabling parameter identification to be initiated during the data acquisition process.Consequently,the waiting time for data collection overlaps with the computation time for parameter estimation,significantly reducing the overall identification latency.Simulation results on a power system test network demonstrate that the proposed method substantially reduces the end-to-end latency without sacrificing identification accuracy,thereby significantly improving the real-time capability of online wideband oscillation analysis.

关键词

电力系统/宽频振荡/TimeMixer/时序预测/实时辨识

Key words

power system/wide-frequency oscillation/TimeMixer/time-series prediction/real-time identification

引用本文复制引用

赵妍,范彬雪,李亚波,刘闯..基于TimeMixer时序预测的电力系统宽频振荡快速辨识[J].电力系统保护与控制,2026,54(17):97-109,13.

基金项目

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U24B2084). 国家自然科学基金项目资助(U24B2084) (No.U24B2084)

吉林省教育厅科学技术研究项目资助(JJKH20240144KJ) (JJKH20240144KJ)

电力系统保护与控制

1674-3415

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