经济学报2026，Vol.13Issue(3)：52-69,18.
职业发展与生育意愿
Career development and the Fertility Intentions:With the Impact of the"35-Year-Old Threshold"
摘要
Abstract
Using the data of China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)in 2020,this paper constructs a regression model to explore the causal relationship between career development and workers' fertility intention and its influencing mechanism.The results show that:(1)the hindered career development of workers will significantly reduce their fertility intention;(2)Blocked career development will prolong workers' working hours,further unbalance their"family-work"time allocation,reduce workers' confidence in the future,have a negative impact on their marriage relationship,and then lead to a decline in workers' fertility intention;(3)Heterogeneity analysis indicates that limited career advancement primarily reduces the fertility intentions of male and low-education workers.It has no impact on the fertility intentions of female and high-education workers.Furthermore,limited career advancement weakens workers' preference for having a son.This paper enriches the theoretical research on career development and workers' fertility intention.关键词
职业发展/自我概念/生育意愿/35岁门槛分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
汪伟,吴晓恒..职业发展与生育意愿[J].经济学报,2026,13(3):52-69,18.基金项目
本研究受国家社科基金重大项目(领军人才项目)"人口老龄化的收入不平等效应及对策研究"(编号:23VRC052)、国家社会科学基金重大项目"全面实施供给侧结构性改革研究"(编号:22ZDA049)、上海高校东方学者特聘教授支持计划(2023140001)、中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2025110721,2025110400,2025110511)的资助. （领军人才项目）
