辽宁农业科学Issue(5)：22-29,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1728.2026.05.004
中国种植业净碳汇与经济效益的协调发展研究
Research on the Coordinated Development of Net Carbon Sink and Economic Benefits in China's Planting Industry
摘要
Abstract
Based on panel data from 31 provinces in China between 2000 and 2023,this study systematically analyzes the interaction between the net carbon sink and economic benefits in China's planting industry.By estimating carbon emissions and carbon sink potential,a net carbon sink indicator was constructed.Using Da-gum Gini coefficient decomposition,spatial autocorrelation analysis,and the Spatial Durbin Model(SDM),the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and regional disparities of carbon emissions and economic benefits in China's planting industry were revealed.The results indicate that:during the study period,although both carbon emissions and carbon sinks in the planting industry showed a continuous increasing trend,the net car-bon sink scale expanded simultaneously,reflecting the continuous improvement of ecological performance in China's planting industry.The net carbon sink intensity overall declined,indicating a continuous weakening of the ecological contribution per unit of economic output,with a particularly noticeable decline in the eastern de-veloped provinces.Dagum Gini decomposition results show that inter-regional differences have always been the main source of inequality in net carbon sink intensity nationwide,while intra-regional differences and cross-re-gional overlapping differences have gradually intensified over time.Spatial autocorrelation further confirmed significant spatial clustering characteristics.The Spatial Durbin Model results indicate that irrigation levels and the planting structure of high-carbon crops have a significant positive effect on net carbon sink intensity,while rising temperatures have a significant inhibitory effect.Overall,although China's planting industry has made positive progress in the synergy between ecology and economy,the regional differentiation pattern has not been fundamentally alleviated,and the trade-off between ecology and economy remains prominent.The research conclusions provide an important theoretical basis for formulating regionally differentiated low-carbon agricul-tural development policies.关键词
净碳汇/空间异质性/种植业/空间杜宾模型Key words
Net carbon sink/Spatial heterogeneity/Planting industry/Spatial durbin model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王佩,刘铮..中国种植业净碳汇与经济效益的协调发展研究[J].辽宁农业科学,2026,(5):22-29,8.基金项目
陕西省教育科学规划课题(SGH25Y3998) （SGH25Y3998）
陕西省职业技术教育学会"双高计划"建设学校课程思政专项课题(SGKC-SZ2020-695) （SGKC-SZ2020-695）
