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基于混沌理论的猫场铝矿地压分布安全预警系统

刘国斌

世界有色金属Issue(16):61-63,3.
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世界有色金属Issue(16):61-63,3.

基于混沌理论的猫场铝矿地压分布安全预警系统

Safety Early Warning System for Ground Pressure Distribution in Maochang Aluminum Mine Based on Chaos Theory

刘国斌1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国铝业股份有限公司贵州分公司,贵州 贵阳 550014
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The borehole stress in Maochang Aluminum Mine was monitored,and a nonlinear dynamic analysis model for the time-series data of borehole stress was constructed.Based on the framework of chaos theory,the time-series data of borehole stress were analyzed using the phase space reconstruction method.The optimal embedding dimension and time delay of the system were determined to be 5 and 1,respectively.The maximum Lyapunov exponent was calculated to be 0.028 5,confirming the chaotic characteristics of the borehole stress system.The phase space reconstruction revealed the evolution pattern of the phase point distances of borehole stress changes in the phase space.A prediction model for borehole stress changes was established using Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)deep neural networks combined with phase space reconstruction.The study demonstrated that:① The phase space reconstruction technique significantly amplifies the nonlinear characteristics of borehole stress through high-dimensional space mapping,providing a new theoretical perspective for analyzing ground pressure activity patterns;② The established borehole stress prediction model exhibits high prediction accuracy,with minimum and maximum errors of 0.11%and 1.72%,respectively,and an average error of 0.49%;③ The prediction model accurately captures the chaotic characteristics of the stress system.By integrating chaos dynamics theory with deep learning algorithms,the model enables quantitative early warning of mine ground pressure,offering reliable technical support for safe mining operations.

关键词

地压分布/相空间重构/LSTM神经网络/安全预警系统

Key words

Ground pressure distribution/Phase space reconstruction/LSTM neural network/Safety early warning system

分类

矿业与冶金

引用本文复制引用

刘国斌..基于混沌理论的猫场铝矿地压分布安全预警系统[J].世界有色金属,2026,(16):61-63,3.

世界有色金属

1002-5065

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