中国电力2026，Vol.59Issue(9)：109-118,10.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202601077
火电行业减污降碳成效评估与展望
Effectiveness assessment and prospect for pollution and carbon emission reduction in the thermal power industry
摘要
Abstract
The thermal power industry serves as the backbone of China's power system.Despite a continuous decline in its share of electricity generation,it still contributed 63.2%of China's total power output in 2024,making it a primary source of atmospheric pollutants and carbon emissions.Taking 2003 as the baseline year,this paper establishes a quantitative assessment method for pollution and carbon reduction,focusing on evaluating the effectiveness of pollution and carbon mitigation in the thermal power sector from 2004 to 2024.The results show that,compared with the emission intensity of 2003,the thermal power industry achieved cumulative reductions of 151 million tonnes(Mt)of smoke and dust,426 Mt of SO2,and 228 Mt of NOx over the period.End-of-pipe treatment technologies played a significant role,with average contribution rates of 81.5%,80.1%,and 73.2%,respectively.The cumulative carbon reduction reached 13.18 billion tonnes,experiencing three distinct phases:rapid decline,moderate decline,and sustained advancement.In the future,end-of-pipe treatment will remain the dominant pathway for reducing air pollutants in the thermal power industry,and needs to be upgraded to integrated ultra-clean emission technologies for multiple pollutants.Meanwhile,in terms of carbon reduction,the potential for energy conservation and efficiency improvement is narrowing,making it urgent to achieve deep decarbonization through diversified approaches such as low-carbon fuel substitution,carbon capture,utiliazation and storage(CCUS).The key to synergistically advancing co-benefits of pollution and carbon reduction lies in achieving breakthroughs in original full-chain technologies covering source fuel substitution,system-wide intelligent optimization,and end-of-pipe treatment.This will provide solid scientific and technological support for the green,low-carbon transformation of the thermal power industry and the long-term improvement of environmental quality.关键词
火电/减污降碳/末端治理/源头替代/展望Key words
thermal power/pollution and carbon reduction/end-of-pipe treatment/source fuel substitution/prospect引用本文复制引用
朱法华,徐静馨,宁淼..火电行业减污降碳成效评估与展望[J].中国电力,2026,59(9):109-118,10.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2024YFC3712805,2022YFC3701504). This work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2024YFC3712805,No.2022YFC3701504). （2024YFC3712805,2022YFC3701504）
