中国动物检疫2026,Vol.43Issue(8):7-12,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1005-944X.2026.08.002
2025年山东省烟台市某县级市牛羊布鲁氏菌病病例对照研究
A Case-control Study of Bovine and Ovine Brucellosis in a County-level City of Yantai City,Shandong Province in 2025
摘要
Abstract
In order to identify the key transmission risk factors for bovine and ovine brucellosis in a county-level city of Yantai City,Shandong Province,a 1:4 matched case-control study was conducted based on the results of a cross-sectional survey carried out from September to October 2025.A total of 30 positive farms/households were assigned to the case group,and 126 negative farms/households were selected and matched as the control group.Data on 17 exposure factors were collected through questionnaires.Univariate analysis revealed that"introduction of animals in the past year"(OR=7.286,P<0.001),"entry of vehicles transporting introduced animals into the farm"(OR=6.050,P=0.002),and"abortion in female animals in the past year"(OR=6.716,P<0.001)were associated with brucellosis positivity.Multivariable Firth logistic regression identified that"entry of vehicles transporting introduced animals into the farm"(OR=6.312,P=0.009)and"entry of external veterinarians into the farm in the past six months"(OR=7.935,P=0.056)were potential risk factors,with a model AUC of 0.687.In conclusion,"entry of vehicles transporting introduced animals into the the farm"and"entry of external veterinarians into the farm in the past six months"were identified as key risk factors for brucellosis transmission,whereas a history of abortion in female animals was significant in univariate analysis.Accordingly,the following countermeasures were proposed for regions with smallholder farming systems:strengthening disinfection management of vehicle entry and biosecurity control for external veterinarians entry,improving quarantine for introduced animals,and incorporating abortion events in female animals into the early warning system.关键词
布鲁氏菌病/病例对照研究/风险因素Key words
brucellosis/case-control study/risk factor分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
王晓玲,陈峰,兰邹然,李明祯,柴世庆,李璐君,孙淑芳,范钦磊,张月,王志刚,霍红莉..2025年山东省烟台市某县级市牛羊布鲁氏菌病病例对照研究[J].中国动物检疫,2026,43(8):7-12,6.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2025YFD1800104) (2025YFD1800104)