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2025年山东省烟台市某县级市牛羊布鲁氏菌病病例对照研究

王晓玲 陈峰 兰邹然 李明祯 柴世庆 李璐君 孙淑芳 范钦磊 张月 王志刚 霍红莉

中国动物检疫2026,Vol.43Issue(8):7-12,6.
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中国动物检疫2026,Vol.43Issue(8):7-12,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1005-944X.2026.08.002

2025年山东省烟台市某县级市牛羊布鲁氏菌病病例对照研究

A Case-control Study of Bovine and Ovine Brucellosis in a County-level City of Yantai City,Shandong Province in 2025

王晓玲 1陈峰 2兰邹然 2李明祯 2柴世庆 3李璐君 4孙淑芳 5范钦磊 5张月 2王志刚 2霍红莉6

作者信息

  • 1. 山东省动物疫病预防与控制中心(山东省人畜共患病流调监测中心),山东 济南 250100||烟台市动物疫病预防与控制中心,山东 烟台 264003
  • 2. 山东省动物疫病预防与控制中心(山东省人畜共患病流调监测中心),山东 济南 250100
  • 3. 烟台市动物疫病预防与控制中心,山东 烟台 264003
  • 4. 海阳市二十里店镇畜牧兽医站,山东海阳 265100
  • 5. 中国动物卫生与流行病学中心,山东 青岛 266032
  • 6. 莱阳市动物疫病预防控制中心,山东莱阳 265200
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to identify the key transmission risk factors for bovine and ovine brucellosis in a county-level city of Yantai City,Shandong Province,a 1:4 matched case-control study was conducted based on the results of a cross-sectional survey carried out from September to October 2025.A total of 30 positive farms/households were assigned to the case group,and 126 negative farms/households were selected and matched as the control group.Data on 17 exposure factors were collected through questionnaires.Univariate analysis revealed that"introduction of animals in the past year"(OR=7.286,P<0.001),"entry of vehicles transporting introduced animals into the farm"(OR=6.050,P=0.002),and"abortion in female animals in the past year"(OR=6.716,P<0.001)were associated with brucellosis positivity.Multivariable Firth logistic regression identified that"entry of vehicles transporting introduced animals into the farm"(OR=6.312,P=0.009)and"entry of external veterinarians into the farm in the past six months"(OR=7.935,P=0.056)were potential risk factors,with a model AUC of 0.687.In conclusion,"entry of vehicles transporting introduced animals into the the farm"and"entry of external veterinarians into the farm in the past six months"were identified as key risk factors for brucellosis transmission,whereas a history of abortion in female animals was significant in univariate analysis.Accordingly,the following countermeasures were proposed for regions with smallholder farming systems:strengthening disinfection management of vehicle entry and biosecurity control for external veterinarians entry,improving quarantine for introduced animals,and incorporating abortion events in female animals into the early warning system.

关键词

布鲁氏菌病/病例对照研究/风险因素

Key words

brucellosis/case-control study/risk factor

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

王晓玲,陈峰,兰邹然,李明祯,柴世庆,李璐君,孙淑芳,范钦磊,张月,王志刚,霍红莉..2025年山东省烟台市某县级市牛羊布鲁氏菌病病例对照研究[J].中国动物检疫,2026,43(8):7-12,6.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2025YFD1800104) (2025YFD1800104)

中国动物检疫

1005-944X

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