系统管理学报2026，Vol.35Issue(5)：1221-1234,14.DOI:10.3969/j.issn2097-4558.2026.05.007
考虑资源消耗与耦合作用的海上危化品运输系统安全韧性提升策略
Safety Resilience Improvement Strategy of Maritime Hazardous Chemical Transportation System Considering Resource Consumption and Coupling Effects
摘要
Abstract
Implementing effective safety resilience improvement strategies is essential for the maritime hazardous chemical transportation system(MHCTS)to rapidly recover stability and achieve overall safety.Based on the entropy flow principle,the resilience improvement process is characterized by the resource consumption of resilience-influencing factors and the entropy changes resulting from the coupling effects among these factors.Therefore,to accurately quantify and evaluate the effectiveness of different resilience improvement schemes,this paper innovatively integrates two dimensions—resource consumption and coupling effects—based on 205 historical accident cases.By employing Pearson correlation analysis and the N-K model coupling degree method,combined with entropy theory,it establishes a mathematical programming model for system safety resilience improvement.Furthermore,it applies the Monte Carlo method to simulate and analyze different coupling improvement schemes,comparing them with single-factor independent improvement schemes.The results demonstrate that the proposed coupling strategies offer superior performance in terms of both resilience improvement effectiveness and resource allocation efficiency.The validity of the strategy is further verified through a real-world case study.This paper provides decision support for MHCTS to achieve proactive safety through the enhancement of its intrinsic resilience capabilities.关键词
海上危化品运输系统/韧性提升策略/规划模型/耦合作用/资源消耗Key words
maritime hazardous chemical transportation system(MHCTS)/resilience improvement strategy/planning model/coupling effect/resource consumption分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
袁长峰,孙兴,陈晨,王泰恒..考虑资源消耗与耦合作用的海上危化品运输系统安全韧性提升策略[J].系统管理学报,2026,35(5):1221-1234,14.基金项目
2024年辽宁省社会科学规划基金资助项目(L24BGL004) （L24BGL004）
