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灰色线性组合模型在涝灾预测中的应用

迟道才 沈亚西 王琦 王海南 吴秀明 张特男

沈阳农业大学学报2011,Vol.42Issue(5):592-595,4.
沈阳农业大学学报2011,Vol.42Issue(5):592-595,4.

灰色线性组合模型在涝灾预测中的应用

Forecast of Flood Disaster Based on a Grey Linear Regression Combined Model

迟道才 1沈亚西 1王琦 1王海南 1吴秀明 1张特男1

作者信息

  • 1. 沈阳农业大学水利学院,沈阳110161
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Grey linear regression combined model has added linear analysis on the basis of traditional grey prediction model, which has been widely used in various fields. A grey linear combination model based on the rainfall data during 1960 to 2006 in Shenyang was established to predict flood disaster. The results showed that combination model was better to predict cataclysm years, and the prediction error was less than ordinary grey prediction model.

关键词

灰色预测/灰色线性组合/涝灾预测

Key words

grey prediction/ grey linear regression combined/ forecasting flood disaster

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

迟道才,沈亚西,王琦,王海南,吴秀明,张特男..灰色线性组合模型在涝灾预测中的应用[J].沈阳农业大学学报,2011,42(5):592-595,4.

基金项目

辽宁省重大项目(2008NY01) (2008NY01)

辽宁省教育厅重点实验室项目(2009S091) (2009S091)

辽宁省自然科学基金项目(20082122) (20082122)

沈阳农业大学学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-1700

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