茶叶科学2012，Vol.32Issue(3)：254-260,7.
人民币汇率波动对我国茶叶出口的影响——基于1980～2010年度数据的实证研究
Influence of CNY Exchange Fluctuations on Tea Export of China——Positive Studies Based on Data during the Years of 1980～2010
摘要
Abstract
The exchange rate is an important lever to regulate the economy, and also is an important factor to affect the foreign trade. This paper adopted econometric models, like Co-integration relationship, Error Correction Model and Granger Cause, to analyze the influence on China's tea export by the data of recent 30 years' CNY exchange rate. The positive studies showed that exchange rate had negative effect on China's tea export, and in the long-term they have co-integration. REER has stronger effects than NER on tea export, and the ECM of REER is more stable. Thus, related methods should be adopted to offset the negative impact when exchange rate fluctuates.关键词
茶叶出口/实际有效汇率/名义汇率/协整检验Key words
tea export, real effective exchange rate, nominal exchange rate, co-integration分类
轻工纺织引用本文复制引用
章莹,汤一..人民币汇率波动对我国茶叶出口的影响——基于1980～2010年度数据的实证研究[J].茶叶科学,2012,32(3):254-260,7.基金项目
国家茶叶产业体系项目资助 （）
