郑州轻工业学院学报（自然科学版）2012，Vol.27Issue(3)：98-101,4.
基于贝叶斯网络的复杂工程项目进度风险Monte-Carlo模拟
Monte-Carlo simulation on schedule risk in complex construction project using Bayesian networks
摘要
Abstract
Based on the analysis of the risk characteristics of complex projects,Monte-Carlo simulation on schedule risk using Bayesian networks was introduced and schedule risk model was built. An power project as an example is simulated and analyzed. The results showed that the reverse retrospective study can find affect extent of the risk factors related to complex projects,and targeted control methods can be adopted.关键词
贝叶斯网络/项目进度风险/蒙特卡洛模拟Key words
Bayesian networks (BN)/ project schedule risk/ Monte-Carlo simulation分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
李蒙,张云波..基于贝叶斯网络的复杂工程项目进度风险Monte-Carlo模拟[J].郑州轻工业学院学报（自然科学版）,2012,27(3):98-101,4.基金项目
国务院侨办基金项目(06Q0052) （06Q0052）
华侨大学高层次引进人才基金项目(11BS415) （11BS415）
华侨大学“侨办”科研课题(11QZR06) （11QZR06）
