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青海公路沿线暴雨洪涝灾害风险指数特征与模型研究

张静 保广裕 刘玮 杨春华 燕振宁 代青措 傅永超

干旱区地理2024,Vol.47Issue(1):28-37,10.
干旱区地理2024,Vol.47Issue(1):28-37,10.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.283

青海公路沿线暴雨洪涝灾害风险指数特征与模型研究

Characteristics and model of rainstorm and flood disaster risk index along Qinghai Highway

张静 1保广裕 1刘玮 1杨春华 1燕振宁 1代青措 1傅永超2

作者信息

  • 1. 青海省气象服务中心,青海 西宁 810001
  • 2. 青海省祁连县气象局,青海 祁连 810400
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on daily precipitation and geographic and socioeconomic data collected from 50 national and 39 traffic meteorological stations in Qinghai Province of China from January 2012 to December 2021,this study ana-lyzes the spatiotemporal distribution and characteristics of rainfall intensities along the highway.The analytic hi-erarchy process and natural breakpoint methods were applied to summarize the risk indices of rainstorms and flood disasters.These indices include the disaster-bearing environment,meteorological risk,and disaster preven-tion and reduction capability.By integrating these factors,a rainstorm and flood disaster risk model for a highway in Qinghai Province was developed.The key findings are as follows:(1)The spatial distribution of rainfall days along highways decreases from southeast to northwest.High-risk areas include the Xining-Tianjun section of Na-tional Highway G315 and the Xining-Ebaoling section of National Highway G227.(2)Environmental vulnerabili-ty risk gradually decreases from the southeast and northeast to the west.High-risk areas include the Qilian section of National Highway G227 and the Gonghe-Nangqian section of National Highway G214.(3)The risk of disaster body exposure is concentrated in the Minhe-Gonghe section of National Highway G109 and the Xining-Ebaoling section of National Highway G227.(4)Regions with high disaster prevention and reduction capability are mainly Xining City,Haidong City,east Haibei Prefecture,and west Haixi Prefecture.(5)The rainstorm and flood disaster risk model,categorized into five levels(lowest,low,medium,high,and higher risk),offers a practical tool for me-teorological disaster risk management and provides a scientific basis for local transportation departments'disas-ter prevention and relief efforts.

关键词

暴雨洪涝灾害/致灾因子/孕灾环境/承灾体/防灾减灾能力/风险模型/青海省

Key words

rainstorm and flood disaster/disaster causing factor/disaster-prone environment/disaster bearing body/disaster prevention and mitigation capacity/risk model/Qinghai Province

引用本文复制引用

张静,保广裕,刘玮,杨春华,燕振宁,代青措,傅永超..青海公路沿线暴雨洪涝灾害风险指数特征与模型研究[J].干旱区地理,2024,47(1):28-37,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(42165014) (42165014)

西宁市科技计划项目(2023-M-06)资助 (2023-M-06)

干旱区地理

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-6060

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