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劳动力老化如何影响劳动生产率?

成前 陆杰华

人口与经济Issue(1):34-46,13.
人口与经济Issue(1):34-46,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4149.2024.00.002

劳动力老化如何影响劳动生产率?

How Does Aging of Labor Force Impact Labor Productivity?:Analysis Based on Panel Data of Chinese Cities

成前 1陆杰华2

作者信息

  • 1. 南开大学 经济学院, 天津 300071
  • 2. 北京大学 中国社会与发展研究中心研究院/社会学系, 北京 100871
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Since China entered an aging society in 2000,the degree of population aging has also continued to deepen.As a basic element of the social economy,the aging of labor force has faced a series of new challenges and opportunities for social and economic development.Based on the panel data of Chinese cities from 2000 to 2020,this paper analyzes the impact mechanism of aging of labor force on labor productivity by using a long difference model on the basis of previous study.The study shows that there is a negative relationship between the aging of labor force and the labor productivity.Furthermore,after examining the mechanism of the effect of aging of labor force on labor productivity from the aspects of factor input and technological progress,it finds that the aging of labor force has an effect on labor productivity mainly through affecting technological progress and labor employment.In addition,public policies such as labor skills improvement and public financial investment can effectively reduce the negative impact of aging of labor force on labor productivity.Finally,this study suggests that in order to effectively address this issue,it is necessary to strengthen attention to the fertility issue.Meanwhile,we need to formulate specialized and effective public policies from aspects such as labor skills improvement and public financial investment,and in specific implementation,attention should be paid to tilting relevant policies towards specific areas such as the central and western regions,second-tier cities and below.These research conclusions are helpful to explain the difference of productivity in Chinese cities from the perspective of aging of labor force,which are of great significance to promote the high-quality economic development under the new pattern of population development.

关键词

劳动力老化/劳动生产率/公共政策/高质量发展

Key words

aging of labor force/labor productivity/public policy/high-quality development

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

成前,陆杰华..劳动力老化如何影响劳动生产率?[J].人口与经济,2024,(1):34-46,13.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金青年项目"人口发展新格局下劳动力老化特征及其社会经济影响研究"(22CRK001). (22CRK001)

人口与经济

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1000-4149

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