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森林碳汇促进中国乡村振兴绩效评价OACSTPCD

Performance Evaluation of Promoting Rural Revitalization Through Forest Carbon Sequestration in China

中文摘要英文摘要

森林碳汇是实施乡村振兴战略的强大动力,然而在多大程度上可以促进农民增收,进而推动乡村振兴,则需要进行定量分析与评价.通过构建乡村振兴绩效评价指数,对我国 30 个省(市、自治区)乡村振兴绩效进行评价;建立岭回归模型,重点分析森林碳汇对乡村振兴绩效的影响程度,进一步进行关于乡村振兴绩效评价指数的灰色聚类决策分析.结果表明:我国乡村建设取得很大成就,但建设成果分布不均,地域间差别较大,广大西部地区依然是乡村振兴的主战场;森林碳汇对乡村振兴绩效评价指数有显著影响,同时要发挥道路建设的拉动作用,农村产业的选择和发展要遵循绿色、低碳准则;乡村振兴绩效评价等级为"差"的省份占比为43%,我国乡村振兴的任务还很艰巨.据此提出,分类指导分步推进、充分发挥森林碳汇对乡村振兴的推动作用、支持西部省份重点发展森林碳汇项目等政策建议.

Forest carbon sequestration is a powerful driving force for implementing rural revitalization strate-gies,but the extent to which forest carbon sequestration can promote farmers'income and further promote rural revi-talization requires quantitative analysis and evaluation.The article first constructs a performance evaluation index for rural revitalization,which evaluates the performance of rural revitalization in 30 provinces(cities,autonomous re-gions)in China.Next,establish a ridge regression model,focusing on analyzing the impact of forest carbon sinks on the performance of rural revitalization.Further conduct grey clustering decision-making analysis on the perform-ance evaluation index of rural revitalization.The main conclusions of the article include:China has made great a-chievements in rural construction,but the distribution of construction achievements is uneven and there are signifi-cant regional differences.The vast western region remains the main battlefield for rural revitalization;forest carbon sequestration has a significant impact on the performance evaluation index of rural revitalization,and at the same time,it should play a driving role in road construction.The selection and development of rural industries should fol-low green and low-carbon guidelines;the grey clustering results of the rural revitalization performance evaluation in-dex show that 43%of provinces have a'poor'rating,and the task of rural revitalization in China is still very chal-lenging.Based on the above analysis,the article proposes policy recommendations from the perspectives of classifi-cation guidance and step-by-step promotion,fully leveraging the role of forest carbon sequestration in promoting ru-ral revitalization,and supporting the key development of forest carbon sequestration projects in western provinces.

索贵彬;刘艺;孟晓萱

河北地质大学管理学院, 河北 石家庄 050031河北地质大学城市地质与工程学院, 河北 石家庄 050031

经济学

森林碳汇乡村振兴绩效评价灰色聚类岭回归

forest carbon sinkrural revitalizationperformance evaluationgrey clusteringridge regression

《西南林业大学学报》 2024 (002)

31-37 / 7

河北省高等教育教学改革研究与实践项目(2022GJJG289)资助;2023年度河北省社会科学发展研究课题(20230203018)资助.

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