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中国春季复合极端低温多雨事件的年代际变化及成因分析OA北大核心CSTPCD

Analysis on interdecadal variation and the causes of compound extreme cold and rainfall events in spring in China

中文摘要英文摘要

利用1961-2020 年中国553 站逐日最低气温、降水资料和ERA5 再分析资料,探讨了我国春季复合极端低温多雨事件的年代际变化特征及可能成因.结果表明,春季复合极端低温多雨事件整体呈现出南多北少的分布型,并且高频次中心在西南和华南地区,年平均超过了5 d.全国绝大部分地区春季复合极端低温多雨事件近60年呈现减少趋势,在1990年代末期出现了由多转少的全国范围的年代际突变,并以我国东南部季风区的减少最为显著.进一步分析发现,我国北方至白令海峡地区的异常气旋性环流和我国东南侧西北太平洋上的异常反气旋性环流是引起年代际突变的两个关键环流系统.

Based on the daily minimum temperature data,precipitation data at 553 stations in China and ERA5 monthly reanalysis data from 1961 to 2020,the interdecadal variation characteristics and its possible causes of compound extreme cold and rainfall events in spring of China were explored.Results indicate that the compound extreme cold and rainfall events in spring exhibit a distribution pattern of more in the south and less in the north,with the highest frequency(more than 5 days per year on average)occurring in the Southwest and South China.The compound extreme cold and rainfall events in spring in the majority of regions in China have presented a decreasing trend in the past 60 years.In the late 1990s,there was a nationwide interdecadal mutation from more to less,with the most significant decreasing being in the monsoon region of southeastern China.Further analysis shows that the anomalous cyclonic circulation from northern China to the Bering Strait and the anomalous anticyclonic circulation over the northwest Pacific on the southeast of China are the two key circulation systems causing the interdecadal mutation.

周晶;孙燕;齐雅静

江苏省气象科学研究所,南京 210019南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,南京 210044

复合极端低温多雨事件年代际异常环流背景

Compound extreme cold and rainfall eventsInterdecadal anomalyCirculation background

《气候变化研究进展》 2024 (001)

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国家重点研发计划"重大自然灾害防控与公共安全"重点专项(2022YFC3003905);江苏省气象局重点基金项目(KZ202205)

10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2023.075

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