中国农村老年人社会参与的脆弱性分析OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

Based on the analysis framework of"exposure-sensitivity-adaptive capacity"by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC),this study systematically builds the vulnerability assessment index system of social participation of the elderly in rural China by integrating the relevant influencing factors of social participation of the elderly revealed in previous studies.On this basis,using the data of China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey(CLASS)conducted in 2020,this paper identifies three types of vulnerability in social participation for the rural elderly,named the high,medium,and low vulnerability respectively.Furthermore,this study employs the logistic regression model to analyze the correlative factors associated with the rural elderly featured by three vulnerability types and uses the radar map to demonstrate the vulnerability characteristics of different risk groups.The research results show that the vulnerability of social participation for the majority of the rural elderly maintains a low or medium level,and only a tiny fraction of the elderly show a high level of vulnerability in their social participation with high heterogeneity.In addition,those rural elderly characterized by the oldest-old,low education attainment,poor health,widow or widower,and living in communities with no public facilities and sites for the elderly show more risk in a state of high vulnerability in social participation.Moreover,the disparity in the different types of vulnerability in social participation for the rural elderly is due to the effect of three dimensions:exposure,sensitivity,and adaptive capacity.Among them,high exposure is an essential dimension to identify those vulnerable groups of the rural elderly in social participation.At the same time,the low adaptive ability is the critical factor causing high vulnerability of social participation of the rural elderly.In the future,according to the vulnerability types and manifestations of the rural elderly with different characteristics,more targeted support should be provided for the rural elderly from different aspects of individuals,families,and society to reduce the vulnerability of high-risk groups,prevent the further increase of vulnerability in medium-and low-risk groups and enhance the ability of the rural elderly to participate in social activities.