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2023年中国成品油行业运行特点与近期展望

孙仁金 石红玲 董秀成

国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(3):29-37,9.
国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(3):29-37,9.

2023年中国成品油行业运行特点与近期展望

Operation characteristics of China's refined oil industry in 2023 and outlook for 2024

孙仁金 1石红玲 1董秀成2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院
  • 2. 对外经济贸易大学国际经贸学院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In 2023,China's refining capacity reached a new high,with refinery start-up rate rebounding and refined oil product output growing significantly.Refined oil product consumption recovered to the pre-pandemic level with differences in the recovery rhythm of different varieties and the aviation kerosene consumption recovered significantly.The refined oil product consumption structure changed significantly with the difference between supply and demand expanding.In the background of high and wide oscillation of the international crude oil price,the wholesale price of refined oil products grew modestly and the commercial inventory of refined oil products showed"gas drop and diesel rise"with the strong demand for oil depot construction.Refined oil imports fell sharply,Russia became the main source of China's refined oil imports,and the export volume of refined oil products continued to increase,mainly to Singapore.A number of market-specific remediation programs were introduced to standardize the operation of the refined oil market and promote the high-quality development of the industry.In 2024,the regulation of China's refined oil products market will continue to improve,the refining industry will continue to expand,the output of refined oil products will continue to grow,the consumption of refined oil products will return to the low-speed growth channel,and the risks in the refined oil products market will continue to intensify with a wide range of oscillations of international crude oil prices.

关键词

成品油/市场改革/监管/价格/供需/政策/"双碳"

Key words

refined oil/market reform/regulation/price/supply and demand/policy/"dual carbon"

引用本文复制引用

孙仁金,石红玲,董秀成..2023年中国成品油行业运行特点与近期展望[J].国际石油经济,2024,32(3):29-37,9.

国际石油经济

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